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Foregribelse og styring af konsekvenserne af forandringer

Foregribelse og styring af konsekvenserne af forandringer er en af de seks hovedaktiviteter i Eurofounds arbejdsprogram for perioden 2021-2024. Eurofound vil fremlægge dokumentation for den strukturelle udvikling, der påvirker EU's økonomi og arbejdsmarkeder, som i vid udstrækning er drevet af digitalisering og overgangen til en CO2-neutral økonomi , men også af covid-19 -krisen. Denne forskning har til formål at hjælpe politiske beslutningstagere med at foregribe udviklingen og forberede de europæiske arbejdsmarkeder og arbejdspladser på disse ændringer.

Fra 2021 vil Eurofound give indsigt i disse megatendensers indvirkning på leve- og arbejdsvilkårene i EU. På digitaliseringsområdet vil forskningen fokusere på indvirkningen på beskæftigelse og arbejdsvilkår samt på arbejdsmarkedet. De områder, der skal dækkes, vil omfatte den sociale dialog og dens rolle i udformningen af strukturelle ændringer, lovgivningsmæssige rammer, social beskyttelse og kunstig intelligens (AI). Med udgangspunkt i tidligere forskning om platformsarbejde vil perioden 2021-2024 være en mulighed for at fokusere på kortlægning og vurdering af de politiske initiativers effektivitet med hensyn til håndtering af de udfordringer, der identificeres med platformsarbejde.

Eurofound vil også bestræbe sig på at støtte EU's overgang til en CO2-neutral økonomi, herunder den cirkulære økonomi og gennemførelsen af EU's genopretningsinstrument NextGenerationEU, ved at undersøge de socioøkonomiske virkninger. Disse omfatter ændringer i beskæftigelsen og forandring af job og arbejdsvilkår samt de fordelingsmæssige virkninger af klimaændringspolitikkerne. En del af dette arbejde vil bygge på resultaterne af et pilotprojekt om den fremtidige produktion (FOME) udført af Eurofound.

Eurofound vil fortsætte dette arbejde i 2021-2024 i samarbejde med forskellige internationale organisationer og EU-agenturer, f.eks. Det Europæiske Miljøagentur (EEA), hvad angår de sociale konsekvenser af klimaændringspolitikkerne. Desuden vil det eksisterende samarbejde med andre forskningsaktører inden for digitalisering — Det Fælles Forskningscenter (JRC), Agenturet for Grundlæggende Rettigheder (FRA) og Det Europæiske Arbejdsmiljøagentur (EU-OSHA) — blive konsolideret. Der er også planer om yderligere partnerskab med Den Internationale Arbejdsorganisation (ILO) om et arbejdsmarked i forandring.

 

»EU's økonomi- og arbejdsmarkeder er kendetegnet ved megatendensers indvirkning, især digitalisering og overgangen til en CO2-neutral økonomi. Det er vigtigt at undersøge, hvordan disse overgange fungerer, hvad der ændrer sig, og hvordan dette vil påvirke ikke blot virksomhederne, men også arbejdsstyrken og samfundet."

— Irene Mandl, leder af beskæftigelsesenheden

Topic

Recent updates

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Regulatory responses to algorithmic management in the EU

Since 2013, Eurofound's ERM database on restructuring-related legislation has been documenting regulatory developments in the Member States of the European Union and Norway. The most recent update to the database...

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Not only do we need appropriate policy measures to drive the shift to a carbon-neutral economy, we also need sound policy to ensure no one is left behind – we...

Blog

Vigtige politikbudskaber

Infografik

De vigtigste resultater af Eurofounds forskning tjener som input til politiske beslutningstagere i deres behandling af nogle af de centrale spørgsmål på dette område.

  • Det er afgørende at støtte arbejdsgiverne og arbejdstagerne i den dobbelte overgang til den digitale tidsalder og til en CO2-neutral økonomi. Ud over denne strukturelle udvikling udgør den nylige covid-19-pandemi en enorm udfordring for den europæiske økonomi og det europæiske arbejdsmarked.
  • Nye former for beskæftigelse, såsom platformsarbejde og IKT-baseret mobilt arbejde, vinder i stigende grad indpas på de europæiske arbejdsmarkeder. Som følge af brugen af IKT er disse kendetegnet ved nye former for relationer mellem arbejdsgiver og arbejdstager samt anderledes arbejdstilrettelæggelse og arbejdsmønstre. De vil medføre både muligheder og risici for EU's arbejdsmarkeder, der står over for overgangen til en CO2-neutral økonomi og til en digital omstilling på baggrund af covid-19-pandemien.
  • Digitale teknologier er ved at ændre arbejdslivet og arbejdspladsen, hvilket udløser ændringer på arbejdsmarkedet, såsom omstrukturering og tab af arbejdspladser, og nye jobprofiler er begyndt at opstå. Jobprofiler tilpasses på grund af digitaliseringen af produktion og levering af tjenesteydelser. Resultatet er en efterspørgsel efter forskellige færdigheder.
  • Det vil være vigtigt at undersøge de fælles virkninger af digitaliseringen og overgangen til en CO2-neutral økonomi i kølvandet på covid-19-pandemien, og hvordan de styrker hinanden, eller hvordan fordelene ved den ene kan opveje de negative virkninger af den anden.
  • Det teknologidrevne potentiale ved at producere, indsamle og anvende en stor mængde data kan forbedre det europæiske erhvervslivs konkurrenceevne og jobkvalitet. For at undgå udnyttelse og uetisk adfærd vil det dog være vigtigt at sikre, at spørgsmål om f.eks. dataejerskab og databeskyttelse afklares og reguleres, samt at løsninger implementeres.

2021–2024 work plan

From 2021 onwards, Eurofound will provide insights into the impact of these megatrends on living and working conditions in the EU. In the area of digitalisation, research will focus on the impact on employment and working conditions, as well as on the labour market. Areas to be covered will include social dialogue and its role in shaping structural change, regulatory frameworks, social protection and Artificial Intelligence (AI). Building on previous research on platform work, the 2021–2024 period will be an opportunity to focus on mapping and providing an assessment of the effectiveness of policy initiatives in tackling the challenges identified with platform work.

Eurofound will also aim to support the EU’s transition to a carbon-neutral economy, including the circular economy and the implementation of the EU’s recovery instrument NextGenerationEU, by investigating the socioeconomic effects. These include employment shifts and the transformation of jobs and working conditions, as well as the distributional impact of climate change policies. Some of this work will build on the results of a pilot project on the future of manufacturing (FOME) carried out by Eurofound.

To continue this work in 2021–2024, Eurofound will cooperate with various international organisations and EU agencies, for example with the European Environment Agency (EEA) in the area of social impacts of climate change policies. Furthermore, existing collaboration with other research actors in the fields of digitalisation – the Joint Research Centre (JRC), Fundamental Rights Agency (FRA) and European Agency for Safety and Health at Work (EU-OSHA) – will be consolidated. Further partnership with the International Labour Organization (ILO) is also foreseen on the subject of the changing world of work.

Addressing stakeholder priorities

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to address the transitions to both a carbon-neutral economy and the digital age in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as helping to understand the impact of these changes at EU and national levels. For example, research on the impact of these drivers of change on the workplace level will provide insight into how to best support employers and workers so they can seize the opportunities and mitigate the challenges related to these developments. Eurofound’s research will also seek to support businesses in their efforts to adapt to a constantly evolving global economy. Furthermore, the examination of the distributional impacts of climate change policies and of measures to ensure social justice will provide knowledge to help implement the Just Transition Fund. The monitoring of reforms and recent financial support will also allow for an exchange of policy approaches and lessons learned.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines for 2021–2024, feeding directly into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, the research will support the following Commission priorities:

 

Eurofound research

In 2024, Eurofound continues its research on the impact of digitalisation and the transition to a climate-neutral economy on working life. 

Various research strands linked with the digital and green transitions come to completion. This includes research into the impact of new developments in human–machine interaction on work organisation and working conditions. Research concludes on the impact of changes caused by the twin transitions at the sectoral level, focusing on the transformation of business activities, occupational and skill profiles, work organisation and working conditions. And analysis wraps up on the roles, opportunities and challenges of policy actors in the just transition, examining the design and implementation of Just Transition policies at the regional level, their mechanisms and the actors involved. 

Research continues on the impact of the green and digital transitions on the labour market and labour market actors with a project to explore company restructuring approaches and their ongoing adaptation strategies. Further research takes place on the socioeconomic impact of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy, monitoring the employment and social dimension of the green transition.

New research focuses on how managers’ roles and functions are impacted by the increase in telework and the shift towards more hybrid working in terms of challenges and opportunities.

The ongoing monitoring of the developments in the platform economy continues through Eurofound’s regularly updated web repository. Building on previous studies on platform work and the ongoing monitoring of policies and measures with regard to platform work through the web repository, new research focuses on the working conditions of online platform workers. This work aims to explore the characteristics of online platform workers and how they fare in relation to contractual arrangements and job quality, including pay, work intensity, working time, occupational health and safety, social environment and career prospects. It also explores the career goals of platform workers. 

Key outputs

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Eurofound's 2024 work programme is set in the context of the upcoming European elections, war in Ukraine, renewed Middle East conflict and rising cost of living across the EU.

23 januar 2024
Publication
Work programme
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2022 begyndte med forsigtig optimisme. Europa var på vej ud af to år med covid-19-pandemien, og gennem NextGenerationEU blev der fastlagt en genopretningsplan for at skabe en stærk og bæredygtig...

4 maj 2023
Publication
Annual report

Eurofound expert(s)

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Tina Weber is a research manager in Eurofound’s Working Life unit. Having previously shared her time between the Employment and Working Life units, her work has focused on labour...

Research manager,
Working life research unit
Publications results (64)

What have been the major trends and policy developments regarding the flexibilisation of employment in recent years? Eurofound’s work programme for 2017–2020 set out to document and capture these changes in the world of work. This flagship publication provides an overview of developments in Europe

16 April 2020

To support the European Commission’s objective of ensuring Europe is fit for the digital age, this report examines the use of digital technologies in social services and the policies that promote digital transformation. The report explores some of the main issues involved in implementing

02 April 2020

Innovation and technological advancement are natural features of developed economies, and they are necessary to maintain and improve sustainable competitiveness in an era of globalisation. However, while most innovation tends to be incremental, some has a disruptive effect on production and service

22 January 2020

Advances in ICT have opened the door to new ways of organising work. We are shifting from a regular, bureaucratic and ‘factory-based’ working time pattern towards a more flexible model of work. Telework and ICT-based mobile work (TICTM) has emerged in this transition, giving workers and employers

16 January 2020

Accumulating evidence indicates that large metropolitan centres are faring much better than other regions within the Member States of the EU. Such interregional inequality contributes to disenchantment with existing political systems, which in turn can weaken the social bonds that ground democratic

07 October 2019

Platform work emerged onto European labour markets about a decade ago. While still small in scale, it is growing and evolving into a variety of forms. Different types of platform work have significantly different effects on the employment and working conditions of the affiliated workers.

23 September 2019

Eurofound’s European Restructuring Monitor (ERM) is a unique EU-wide dataset on larger-scale restructuring events, which monitors the announced employment effects of restructuring in the EU28 and Norway. Using reports from selected media titles, the ERM is updated on a daily basis. This report gives

16 May 2019

The pilot project The Future of Manufacturing in Europe is an explorative and future-oriented study. It explores the future adoption of some key game-changing technologies and how this adoption can be promoted, even regionally. The analysis of implications for working life focuses primarily on tasks

10 April 2019

This report looks into the impact of the accelerated application of automation and digitisation technologies on the wage and tasks structure of employment in Europe. Despite the high level of uncertainty of these projections, the contribution of this report is to extend the analysis beyond just the

10 April 2019

Reshoring – namely the relocation of value chain activities back to the home country or its nearby region – has attracted an increasing interest both among scholars and policymakers. The European Reshoring Monitor is a collaborative project between Eurofound and a consortium of Italian universities

01 April 2019

Online resources results (48)

Biomedical healthcare industry - visions of the future

/This second article in the Sector Futures series on the biomedical healthcare sector focuses on the main factors shaping the present and future of the industry. It assesses the major trends and drivers, and evaluates different scenarios for the biomedical healthcare industry. The article also

Biomedical healthcare industry - what future?

/The biomedical healthcare sector comprises biotechnologies dedicated to the treatment of human beings. The first of three articles in the Sector Futures series on biomedical healthcare looks at key features of the sector, including the size and structure of its market, the nature of employment, the

The chemicals sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on current foresight studies and reliable data sources. December 2005 features the second and third article in the series on the future of the chemicals sector, excluding pharmaceuticals. The articles explore the trends and drivers likely to shape

The hotels and catering sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. December 2005 features the complete Sector Futures article series on the hotels and catering sector. It sets out by defining the sector

The knowledge-intensive business services sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. The second article in the Sector Futures series on the knowledge-intensive business sector explores, in greater depth, the reasons for the

The transport sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. The third article in the series on the transport sector (May 2005) explores some of the issues that have arisen from policies of the

The food and drink sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. The third feature in this series on the food and drink sector (January 2005) discusses the future of Europe’s food and drink manufacturing

The health and social services sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. January 2005 features the third and last article in the series on the future of the health and social services sector. The paper examines


Blogs results (27)
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While 2020 may come to be seen as the year platform work gathered pace and started to go mainstream – thanks in large part to COVID-19 containment measures sparking an increase in food and grocery delivery – 2021 could be the year that regulation of platform work is set in motion. The well-known tax

24 februar 2021
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​​​​​​​With remote working becoming the new normal for many workers, it is surely the case that many employers are anxious to ensure that their employees are putting in full working days. Companies are likely to be investing in and deploying digital technologies for tracking employee performance muc

9 december 2020
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Whatever the benefits of telework – and there are many, including more flexible working time, increased productivity and less commuting – there are drawbacks, as many of the one-third of Europeans who were exclusively working from home during the pandemic will attest. Primary among these is the ‘alw

3 december 2020
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As Europe braces for a winter wave of the Coronavirus, behind the public health indicators that rightly dominate the headlines, a revolution in working life is under way. In early spring, millions of people throughout Europe took their work home and tried to rapidly adjust to the new world in which

12 november 2020
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Fear has been mounting in the debate around new technologies and the implications for the future of work. But the Coronavirus outbreak is unveiling some real positives of technological advances. Digital communication tools are supporting and enhancing working from home, while innovative companies ar

6 april 2020
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We hear more and more about the platform economy, with the debate often revolving around the potential long-term implications of its growth on the labour market and the impact on traditional and established businesses and industries.

28 januar 2020
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It feels like every day there are new articles or blog posts about how Uber drivers are exploited, or on the bad working conditions and safety standards for Deliveroo riders. In an era of ‘fake news’ can we trust that these are accurate? They most likely are, and I agree that things are not all rosy

17 oktober 2019
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The spread of ICT in the economy is changing both the types of jobs that employ people and the types of tasks that people perform in their jobs. The latest research on the content of work suggests that computerisation has boosted the proportion of jobs with social interaction at their core, while at

1 juli 2019
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Imagine you’re at work and something happens: you have to leave to visit a client, you have to go home to let in the plumber, or you have to collect the kids from school as the football training has just been cancelled. If you’re lucky, your employer gives you the flexibility to do this. If you’re e

14 maj 2019

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