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Att föregripa och hantera effekterna av förändring

Att föregripa och hantera effekterna av förändring är en av de sex främsta aktiviteterna i Eurofounds arbetsprogram för perioden 2021–2024. Eurofound kommer att lägga fram belägg för strukturella förändringar som påverkar EU:s ekonomi och arbetsmarknader och som främst drivs av digitalisering och övergången till en koldioxidneutral ekonomi , men också av covid-19 -krisen. Forskningen är avsedd att hjälpa beslutsfattarna att föregripa effekterna och förbereda de europeiska arbetsmarknaderna och arbetsplatserna för dessa förändringar.

Från och med 2021 kommer Eurofound att ge en inblick i de effekter som dessa megatrender har på levnads- och arbetsvillkoren i EU. På området digitalisering kommer forskningen att fokusera på effekten på sysselsättningen och arbetsvillkoren, liksom på arbetsmarknaden. Områden som ska tas upp är t.ex. dialogen mellan arbetsmarknadens parter (den sociala dialogen) och dess roll i utformningen av strukturella förändringar, regelverk, socialt skydd och artificiell intelligens (AI). Med utgångspunkt i tidigare forskning om plattformsarbete kommer perioden 2021–2024 att ge oss en möjlighet att fokusera på att kartlägga och lägga fram en bedömning av de politiska initiativens effektivitet vad gäller hanteringen av de identifierade utmaningarna vid plattformsarbete.

Eurofound kommer även att sikta på att stödja EU:s övergång till en koldioxidneutral ekonomi, däribland kretsloppsekonomin och genomförandet av EU:s återhämtningsinstrument NextGenerationEU, genom att undersöka de socioekonomiska effekterna. I detta ingår sysselsättningsövergångar och omvandling av arbetstillfällen och arbetsvillkor, liksom de fördelningseffekterna av politiska strategier mot klimatförändring. En del av detta arbete kommer att bygga på resultaten av ett pilotprojekt om framtiden för tillverkningsindustrin (FOME) som Eurofound genomför.

För att kunna fortsätta med detta arbete under 2021–2024 kommer Eurofound att samarbeta med olika internationella organisationer och EU-byråer, t.ex. med Europeiska miljöbyrån (EEA) på området för sociala följder av klimatpolitik. Vidare kommer det befintliga samarbetet med andra forskningsinstitut att konsolideras inom områdena digitalisering – det gemensamma forskningscentrumet (JRC), Byrån för grundläggande rättigheter (FRA) och Europeiska arbetsmiljöbyrån (EU-Osha). Ytterligare partnerskap med Internationella arbetsorganisationen (ILO) förutses även vad gäller området arbetsliv i förändring.

”EU:s ekonomi och arbetsmarknader kännetecknas av effekten av megatrender, särskilt digitaliseringen och övergången till en koldioxidneutral ekonomi. Det är viktigt att utforska exakt hur dessa övergångar fungerar, vad som förändras och hur detta kommer att påverka inte bara företagen, utan även arbetsstyrkan och samhället.”

Irene Mandl, chef för anställningsenheten

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Centrala politiska budskap

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De främsta fynden från Eurofounds forskning används som underlag för beslutsfattarnas hantering av vissa centrala frågor på detta område.

  • Det är avgörande att stödja arbetsgivare och arbetstagare i den dubbla övergången till den digitala tidsåldern och till en koldioxidneutral ekonomi. Vid sidan av dessa strukturella förändringar innebär den aktuella covid-19-pandemin en stor utmaning för den europeiska ekonomin och arbetsmarknaden.
  • Nya anställningsformer, såsom plattformsarbete och IKT-baserat mobilt arbete, vinner allt mer terräng på EU:s arbetsmarknader. Dessa drivs av användningen av IKT och kännetecknas av nya typer av förhållanden mellan arbetsmarknadens parter, mellan arbetsgivare och arbetstagare, med föränderliga arbetsorganisationer och arbetsmönster. De kommer att innebära både möjligheter och risker för EU:s arbetsmarknader, som står inför övergången till en koldioxidneutral ekonomi och en digital omvandling mot bakgrund av covid-19-pandemin.
  • Digitala tekniker omvandlar arbetstillfällen och arbetsplatser, utlöser förändringar på arbetsmarknaden såsom omstrukturering och förlust av arbetstillfällen, och nya arbetsprofiler börjar också dyka upp. Uppgiftsprofilerna i arbetstillfällena anpassas efter digitaliseringen av produktionen och tillhandahållandet av tjänster. Resultatet är att andra kompetenser efterfrågas.
  • Det kommer att bli viktigt att undersöka de sammantagna effekterna av digitaliseringen och övergången till en koldioxidneutral ekonomi i covid-19-pandemins efterdyningar och hur de förstärker varandra, eller hur nyttan av den ena kan uppväga de negativa effekterna av den andra.
  • Den teknikdrivna potentialen att producera, samla in och använda en stor mängd data kan öka konkurrenskraften för europeiska företag och kvaliteten i arbetet. Att säkerställa att frågor som äganderätt till data och dataskydd tydliggörs, och blir väl reglerade och genomförda, kommer dock att vara avgörande för att undvika ett utnyttjande och oetiskt agerande.

2021–2024 work plan

From 2021 onwards, Eurofound will provide insights into the impact of these megatrends on living and working conditions in the EU. In the area of digitalisation, research will focus on the impact on employment and working conditions, as well as on the labour market. Areas to be covered will include social dialogue and its role in shaping structural change, regulatory frameworks, social protection and Artificial Intelligence (AI). Building on previous research on platform work, the 2021–2024 period will be an opportunity to focus on mapping and providing an assessment of the effectiveness of policy initiatives in tackling the challenges identified with platform work.

Eurofound will also aim to support the EU’s transition to a carbon-neutral economy, including the circular economy and the implementation of the EU’s recovery instrument NextGenerationEU, by investigating the socioeconomic effects. These include employment shifts and the transformation of jobs and working conditions, as well as the distributional impact of climate change policies. Some of this work will build on the results of a pilot project on the future of manufacturing (FOME) carried out by Eurofound.

To continue this work in 2021–2024, Eurofound will cooperate with various international organisations and EU agencies, for example with the European Environment Agency (EEA) in the area of social impacts of climate change policies. Furthermore, existing collaboration with other research actors in the fields of digitalisation – the Joint Research Centre (JRC), Fundamental Rights Agency (FRA) and European Agency for Safety and Health at Work (EU-OSHA) – will be consolidated. Further partnership with the International Labour Organization (ILO) is also foreseen on the subject of the changing world of work.

Addressing stakeholder priorities

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to address the transitions to both a carbon-neutral economy and the digital age in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as helping to understand the impact of these changes at EU and national levels. For example, research on the impact of these drivers of change on the workplace level will provide insight into how to best support employers and workers so they can seize the opportunities and mitigate the challenges related to these developments. Eurofound’s research will also seek to support businesses in their efforts to adapt to a constantly evolving global economy. Furthermore, the examination of the distributional impacts of climate change policies and of measures to ensure social justice will provide knowledge to help implement the Just Transition Fund. The monitoring of reforms and recent financial support will also allow for an exchange of policy approaches and lessons learned.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines for 2021–2024, feeding directly into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, the research will support the following Commission priorities:

 

Eurofound research

In 2024, Eurofound continues its research on the impact of digitalisation and the transition to a climate-neutral economy on working life. 

Various research strands linked with the digital and green transitions come to completion. This includes research into the impact of new developments in human–machine interaction on work organisation and working conditions. Research concludes on the impact of changes caused by the twin transitions at the sectoral level, focusing on the transformation of business activities, occupational and skill profiles, work organisation and working conditions. And analysis wraps up on the roles, opportunities and challenges of policy actors in the just transition, examining the design and implementation of Just Transition policies at the regional level, their mechanisms and the actors involved. 

Research continues on the impact of the green and digital transitions on the labour market and labour market actors with a project to explore company restructuring approaches and their ongoing adaptation strategies. Further research takes place on the socioeconomic impact of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy, monitoring the employment and social dimension of the green transition.

New research focuses on how managers’ roles and functions are impacted by the increase in telework and the shift towards more hybrid working in terms of challenges and opportunities.

The ongoing monitoring of the developments in the platform economy continues through Eurofound’s regularly updated web repository. Building on previous studies on platform work and the ongoing monitoring of policies and measures with regard to platform work through the web repository, new research focuses on the working conditions of online platform workers. This work aims to explore the characteristics of online platform workers and how they fare in relation to contractual arrangements and job quality, including pay, work intensity, working time, occupational health and safety, social environment and career prospects. It also explores the career goals of platform workers. 

Key outputs

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Eurofound expert(s)

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Tina Weber is a research manager in Eurofound’s Working Life unit. Having previously shared her time between the Employment and Working Life units, her work has focused on labour...

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Born out of the controversy caused by cases of cross-border restructuring and its employment impact, European works councils (EWCs) are considered a key tool for managing the impact of globalisation. According to the agreements establishing them, the vast majority of EWCs should be informed and

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This issue of Foundation Focus considers the impact of globalisation on relocation, social dialogue, measures to support those who lose out and integration of migrants, based on Eurofound research findings in these areas. The aim of each issue of the series is to explore a subject of social and

27 May 2008

This report provides some perspectives on the effects of trade liberalisation on the European labour market. For its analysis, it draws on data from the European Restructuring Monitor (ERM), the only EU-wide monitoring instrument available. The 2007 ERM report identifies some of the recent and

02 March 2008

Company restructuring is a contemporary solution to managing and anticipating change. During the 1990s, company restructurings became a feature of the European economic landscape. Still today, firms must continually adapt to market trends and pressures in order to maintain a competitive advantage

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Biomedical healthcare industry - visions of the future

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The chemicals sector - what future?

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The transport sector - what future?

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The food and drink sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. The third feature in this series on the food and drink sector (January 2005) discusses the future of Europe’s food and drink manufacturing

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2 november 2018
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Manual jobs in European manufacturing are being transformed as blue-collar workers take on more intellectual tasks. This is a consequence of the increasing use of digital tools and the growing importance of quality control in production. The severe losses of middle-paying jobs in the manufacturing s

27 september 2018
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Digital technologies are transforming work, but the implications have not yet been fully grasped. In a recent Eurofound report, we focus on three main vectors of change to discuss the effects of digital technologies on work and employment and the policy responses such change demands.

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There are fears that thousands of jobs could be lost in financial services following the UK’s exit from the European Union. This blog piece explores some of the implications of Brexit for London’s financial hub, including the reactions of US banks.

12 februari 2018
New-generation cars boost manufacturing employment

Rising levels of employment in manufacturing in the EU since 2013 have seen the part reversal of a long-term decline in employment in this sector. Data from the European Restructuring Monitor (ERM) database to early September 2017 show that, for the first time since 2005, the number of new manufactu

25 oktober 2017
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In the digital age, there are fewer routine jobs because of a higher risk of automation. But a great paradox of this age is this: workers in most types of jobs, including high-skilled ones, are reporting higher levels of routine at work. This emerges from a new study of the task content of occupatio

28 september 2016
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Since the advent of the Industrial Revolution, technological change has brought both opportunities and risks. However, the widespread entry of computing technology into the workplace in the 1980s, and in particular the arrival of the World Wide Web in the 1990s, has profoundly affected society and

25 maj 2016

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