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Predvidevanje in obvladovanje vpliva sprememb

Predvidevanje in obvladovanje vpliva sprememb je ena od šestih glavnih dejavnosti v delovnem programu Eurofounda za obdobje 2021–2024. Eurofound bo predložil dokazila o strukturnih gibanjih, ki vplivajo na gospodarstvo EU in trge dela. Ta gibanja so zlasti posledica digitalizacije in prehoda na ogljično nevtralno gospodarstvo , deloma pa nanje vpliva tudi kriza zaradi pandemije bolezni covid-19. Namen raziskave je zagotoviti pomoč oblikovalcem politik pri predvidevanju sprememb in pripravi evropskih trgov dela ter delovnih mest nanje.

Od leta 2021 dalje bo Eurofound zagotavljal vpoglede v vpliv teh megatrendov na življenjske in delovne razmere v EU. Na področju digitalizacije bo raziskava usmerjena v vpliv na pogoje zaposlovanja in dela ter tudi na delovni trg. Med področji, ki bodo zajeta v raziskavi, bodo tudi socialni dialog in njegova vloga pri oblikovanju strukturnih sprememb, regulativni okviri, socialno varstvo ter umetna inteligenca. Na podlagi prejšnjih raziskav o delu prek platform bo obdobje 2021–2024 priložnost, da se osredotočimo na opredeljevanje in ocenjevanje učinkovitosti političnih pobud glede spopadanja z izzivi, ugotovljenimi pri delu prek platform.

Eurofound si bo s preiskovanjem socialno-ekonomskih učinkov prizadeval tudi podpreti prehod EU na ogljično nevtralno gospodarstvo, vključno s krožnim gospodarstvom in izvajanjem instrumenta za okrevanje EU, imenovanega „Next Generation EU“. Omenjeni učinki vključujejo tudi spremembe na področju zaposlovanja ter preoblikovanje delovnih mest in pogojev, pa tudi porazdelitev učinkov politik o podnebnih spremembah. Nekaj tega dela bo temeljilo na rezultatih pilotnega projekta o prihodnosti proizvodnje (FOME) , ki ga je izvedel Eurofound.

Zaradi nadaljevanja tega dela v obdobju 2021–2024 bo Eurofound sodeloval z različnimi mednarodnimi organizacijami in agencijami EU, na primer z Evropsko agencijo za okolje (EEA) na področju družbenih učinkov politik o podnebnih spremembah. Poleg tega bomo še okrepili trenutno sodelovanje z drugimi raziskovalnimi akterji na področjih digitalizacije, torej s Skupnim raziskovalnim središčem (JRC), Agencijo EU za temeljne pravice (FRA) ter Evropsko agencijo za varnost in zdravje pri delu (EU-OSHA). Predvidena je tudi nadaljnja krepitev partnerstva z Mednarodno organizacijo dela (MOD) glede sprememb na področju dela.

„Na gospodarstvo EU in trge dela vplivajo megatrendi, zlasti digitalizacija in prehod na ogljično nevtralno gospodarstvo. Pomembno je raziskati, kako točno ti prehodi delujejo, kaj se spreminja in kako bo to vplivalo na podjetja ter tudi na delovno silo in celotno družbo.“

Irene Mandl, vodja oddelka za zaposlovanje

Topic

Recent updates

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Ključna sporočila politike

Infografika

Glavne ugotovitve Eurofoundove raziskave uporabljajo oblikovalci politik pri obravnavanju nekaterih ključnih vprašanj na tem področju.

  • Najpomembnejša je podpora delodajalcem in delavcem med dvojnim prehodom na digitalne rešitve in ogljično nevtralno gospodarstvo. Poleg teh strukturnih gibanj pa ogromen izziv za evropsko gospodarstvo in trg dela predstavlja trenutna pandemija bolezni covid-19.
  • Na evropskih trgih dela se povečuje število novih oblik zaposlitev, denimo delo prek platform in mobilno delo, podprto z informacijsko in komunikacijsko tehnologijo (IKT). Zaradi uporabe IKT so zanje značilne nove vrste delovnih razmerij med delodajalcem in zaposlenim, spreminjanje organizacije dela ter novi delovni vzorci. To bo prineslo priložnosti in tveganja za trge dela EU, ki se soočajo s prehodom na ogljično nevtralno gospodarstvo in digitalno preobrazbo med pandemijo bolezni covid-19.
  • Digitalne tehnologije spreminjajo način dela in delovna mesta ter povzročajo spremembe na trgu dela, denimo prestrukturiranje in izgube delovnih mest, začeli pa so se pojavljati tudi novi profili delovnih mest. Zaradi digitalizacije proizvodnje in zagotavljanja storitev se prilagajajo profili nalog za delovna mesta. Rezultat tega je povpraševanje po različnih spretnostih in znanjih.
  • Pomembno bo preučiti skupne učinke digitalizacije in prehoda na ogljično nevtralno gospodarstvo med pandemijo bolezni covid-19 ter njuno medsebojno podpiranje, raziskati pa bo treba tudi, kako lahko prednosti enega prehoda nadomestijo negativne učinke drugega.
  • S tehnologijo podprt potencial za pripravo, zbiranje in uporabo velike količine podatkov lahko izboljša konkurenčnost evropskega poslovanja in kakovost delovnih mest. Pri tem pa bo ključno zagotavljanje pojasnil glede težav, kot sta lastništvo in varstvo podatkov, če želimo preprečiti izkoriščanje in neetično ravnanje.

2021–2024 work plan

From 2021 onwards, Eurofound will provide insights into the impact of these megatrends on living and working conditions in the EU. In the area of digitalisation, research will focus on the impact on employment and working conditions, as well as on the labour market. Areas to be covered will include social dialogue and its role in shaping structural change, regulatory frameworks, social protection and Artificial Intelligence (AI). Building on previous research on platform work, the 2021–2024 period will be an opportunity to focus on mapping and providing an assessment of the effectiveness of policy initiatives in tackling the challenges identified with platform work.

Eurofound will also aim to support the EU’s transition to a carbon-neutral economy, including the circular economy and the implementation of the EU’s recovery instrument NextGenerationEU, by investigating the socioeconomic effects. These include employment shifts and the transformation of jobs and working conditions, as well as the distributional impact of climate change policies. Some of this work will build on the results of a pilot project on the future of manufacturing (FOME) carried out by Eurofound.

To continue this work in 2021–2024, Eurofound will cooperate with various international organisations and EU agencies, for example with the European Environment Agency (EEA) in the area of social impacts of climate change policies. Furthermore, existing collaboration with other research actors in the fields of digitalisation – the Joint Research Centre (JRC), Fundamental Rights Agency (FRA) and European Agency for Safety and Health at Work (EU-OSHA) – will be consolidated. Further partnership with the International Labour Organization (ILO) is also foreseen on the subject of the changing world of work.

Addressing stakeholder priorities

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to address the transitions to both a carbon-neutral economy and the digital age in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as helping to understand the impact of these changes at EU and national levels. For example, research on the impact of these drivers of change on the workplace level will provide insight into how to best support employers and workers so they can seize the opportunities and mitigate the challenges related to these developments. Eurofound’s research will also seek to support businesses in their efforts to adapt to a constantly evolving global economy. Furthermore, the examination of the distributional impacts of climate change policies and of measures to ensure social justice will provide knowledge to help implement the Just Transition Fund. The monitoring of reforms and recent financial support will also allow for an exchange of policy approaches and lessons learned.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines for 2021–2024, feeding directly into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, the research will support the following Commission priorities:

 

Eurofound research

In 2024, Eurofound continues its research on the impact of digitalisation and the transition to a climate-neutral economy on working life. 

Various research strands linked with the digital and green transitions come to completion. This includes research into the impact of new developments in human–machine interaction on work organisation and working conditions. Research concludes on the impact of changes caused by the twin transitions at the sectoral level, focusing on the transformation of business activities, occupational and skill profiles, work organisation and working conditions. And analysis wraps up on the roles, opportunities and challenges of policy actors in the just transition, examining the design and implementation of Just Transition policies at the regional level, their mechanisms and the actors involved. 

Research continues on the impact of the green and digital transitions on the labour market and labour market actors with a project to explore company restructuring approaches and their ongoing adaptation strategies. Further research takes place on the socioeconomic impact of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy, monitoring the employment and social dimension of the green transition.

New research focuses on how managers’ roles and functions are impacted by the increase in telework and the shift towards more hybrid working in terms of challenges and opportunities.

The ongoing monitoring of the developments in the platform economy continues through Eurofound’s regularly updated web repository. Building on previous studies on platform work and the ongoing monitoring of policies and measures with regard to platform work through the web repository, new research focuses on the working conditions of online platform workers. This work aims to explore the characteristics of online platform workers and how they fare in relation to contractual arrangements and job quality, including pay, work intensity, working time, occupational health and safety, social environment and career prospects. It also explores the career goals of platform workers. 

Key outputs

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Eurofound's 2024 work programme is set in the context of the upcoming European elections, war in Ukraine, renewed Middle East conflict and rising cost of living across the EU.

23 Januar 2024
Publication
Work programme
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Leto 2022 se je začelo s previdnim optimizmom. Evropa se je izvila iz objema dve leti trajajoče pandemije covida-19, pri čemer je projekt NextGenerationEU ponudil načrt za okrevanje, ki gradi...

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Publication
Annual report

Eurofound expert(s)

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Tina Weber is a research manager in Eurofound’s Working Life unit. Having previously shared her time between the Employment and Working Life units, her work has focused on labour...

Research manager,
Working life research unit
Publications results (64)

What have been the major trends and policy developments regarding the flexibilisation of employment in recent years? Eurofound’s work programme for 2017–2020 set out to document and capture these changes in the world of work. This flagship publication provides an overview of developments in Europe

16 April 2020

To support the European Commission’s objective of ensuring Europe is fit for the digital age, this report examines the use of digital technologies in social services and the policies that promote digital transformation. The report explores some of the main issues involved in implementing

02 April 2020

Innovation and technological advancement are natural features of developed economies, and they are necessary to maintain and improve sustainable competitiveness in an era of globalisation. However, while most innovation tends to be incremental, some has a disruptive effect on production and service

22 January 2020

Advances in ICT have opened the door to new ways of organising work. We are shifting from a regular, bureaucratic and ‘factory-based’ working time pattern towards a more flexible model of work. Telework and ICT-based mobile work (TICTM) has emerged in this transition, giving workers and employers

16 January 2020

Accumulating evidence indicates that large metropolitan centres are faring much better than other regions within the Member States of the EU. Such interregional inequality contributes to disenchantment with existing political systems, which in turn can weaken the social bonds that ground democratic

07 October 2019

Platform work emerged onto European labour markets about a decade ago. While still small in scale, it is growing and evolving into a variety of forms. Different types of platform work have significantly different effects on the employment and working conditions of the affiliated workers.

23 September 2019

Eurofound’s European Restructuring Monitor (ERM) is a unique EU-wide dataset on larger-scale restructuring events, which monitors the announced employment effects of restructuring in the EU28 and Norway. Using reports from selected media titles, the ERM is updated on a daily basis. This report gives

16 May 2019

The pilot project The Future of Manufacturing in Europe is an explorative and future-oriented study. It explores the future adoption of some key game-changing technologies and how this adoption can be promoted, even regionally. The analysis of implications for working life focuses primarily on tasks

10 April 2019

This report looks into the impact of the accelerated application of automation and digitisation technologies on the wage and tasks structure of employment in Europe. Despite the high level of uncertainty of these projections, the contribution of this report is to extend the analysis beyond just the

10 April 2019

Reshoring – namely the relocation of value chain activities back to the home country or its nearby region – has attracted an increasing interest both among scholars and policymakers. The European Reshoring Monitor is a collaborative project between Eurofound and a consortium of Italian universities

01 April 2019

Online resources results (48)

Biomedical healthcare industry - visions of the future

/This second article in the Sector Futures series on the biomedical healthcare sector focuses on the main factors shaping the present and future of the industry. It assesses the major trends and drivers, and evaluates different scenarios for the biomedical healthcare industry. The article also

Biomedical healthcare industry - what future?

/The biomedical healthcare sector comprises biotechnologies dedicated to the treatment of human beings. The first of three articles in the Sector Futures series on biomedical healthcare looks at key features of the sector, including the size and structure of its market, the nature of employment, the

The chemicals sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on current foresight studies and reliable data sources. December 2005 features the second and third article in the series on the future of the chemicals sector, excluding pharmaceuticals. The articles explore the trends and drivers likely to shape

The hotels and catering sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. December 2005 features the complete Sector Futures article series on the hotels and catering sector. It sets out by defining the sector

The knowledge-intensive business services sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. The second article in the Sector Futures series on the knowledge-intensive business sector explores, in greater depth, the reasons for the

The transport sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. The third article in the series on the transport sector (May 2005) explores some of the issues that have arisen from policies of the

The food and drink sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. The third feature in this series on the food and drink sector (January 2005) discusses the future of Europe’s food and drink manufacturing

The health and social services sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. January 2005 features the third and last article in the series on the future of the health and social services sector. The paper examines


Blogs results (27)
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While 2020 may come to be seen as the year platform work gathered pace and started to go mainstream – thanks in large part to COVID-19 containment measures sparking an increase in food and grocery delivery – 2021 could be the year that regulation of platform work is set in motion. The well-known tax

24 Februar 2021
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​​​​​​​With remote working becoming the new normal for many workers, it is surely the case that many employers are anxious to ensure that their employees are putting in full working days. Companies are likely to be investing in and deploying digital technologies for tracking employee performance muc

9 December 2020
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Whatever the benefits of telework – and there are many, including more flexible working time, increased productivity and less commuting – there are drawbacks, as many of the one-third of Europeans who were exclusively working from home during the pandemic will attest. Primary among these is the ‘alw

3 December 2020
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As Europe braces for a winter wave of the Coronavirus, behind the public health indicators that rightly dominate the headlines, a revolution in working life is under way. In early spring, millions of people throughout Europe took their work home and tried to rapidly adjust to the new world in which

12 November 2020
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Fear has been mounting in the debate around new technologies and the implications for the future of work. But the Coronavirus outbreak is unveiling some real positives of technological advances. Digital communication tools are supporting and enhancing working from home, while innovative companies ar

6 April 2020
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We hear more and more about the platform economy, with the debate often revolving around the potential long-term implications of its growth on the labour market and the impact on traditional and established businesses and industries.

28 Januar 2020
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It feels like every day there are new articles or blog posts about how Uber drivers are exploited, or on the bad working conditions and safety standards for Deliveroo riders. In an era of ‘fake news’ can we trust that these are accurate? They most likely are, and I agree that things are not all rosy

17 Oktober 2019
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The spread of ICT in the economy is changing both the types of jobs that employ people and the types of tasks that people perform in their jobs. The latest research on the content of work suggests that computerisation has boosted the proportion of jobs with social interaction at their core, while at

1 Julij 2019
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Imagine you’re at work and something happens: you have to leave to visit a client, you have to go home to let in the plumber, or you have to collect the kids from school as the football training has just been cancelled. If you’re lucky, your employer gives you the flexibility to do this. If you’re e

14 Maj 2019

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