Pereiti į pagrindinį turinį
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Pokyčių poveikio numatymas ir valdymas

Pokyčių poveikio numatymas ir valdymas – viena iš šešių pagrindinių EUROFOUND darbo programos veiklos sričių 2021–2024 m. laikotarpiu. EUROFOUND pateiks ES ekonomiką ir darbo rinkas veikiančių struktūrinių pokyčių, kuriuos daugiausia skatina skaitmeninimas ir perėjimas prie anglies dioksido neišskiriančios ekonomikos , bet kartu ir COVID-19 krizė, įrodymų. Tyrimo tikslas – padėti politikos formuotojams numatyti ir paruošti Europos darbo rinkas ir darbo vietas šiems pokyčiams.

Nuo 2021 m. EUROFOUND pateiks savo įžvalgas apie šių didžiųjų tendencijų poveikį gyvenimo ir darbo sąlygoms ES. Skaitmeninimo srityje tyrime daug dėmesio bus skiriama poveikiui užimtumui ir darbo sąlygoms, taip pat darbo rinkai. Kitos sritys apima socialinį dialogą ir jo reikšmę formuojant struktūrinius pokyčius, reguliavimo sistemas, socialinę apsaugą ir dirbtinį intelektą (DI). Remiantis ankstesniais darbo skaitmeninėse platformose tyrimais 2021–2024 m. laikotarpiu suteikiama galimybė daug dėmesio skirti veiklos planavimui ir politikos iniciatyvų veiksmingumo vertinimui sprendžiant nustatytus su darbu skaitmeninėse platformose susijusius sunkumus.

EUROFOUND taip pat sieks remti ES perėjimą prie anglies dioksido neišskiriančios ekonomikos, įskaitant žiedinę ekonomiką ir ES ekonomikos gaivinimo priemonę „Next Generation EU“, nagrinėjant socialinius ir ekonominius padarinius. Jie apima pokyčius užimtumo srityje ir keičiamas darbo vietas bei darbo sąlygas, taip pat kovos su klimato kaita politikos paskirstymo poveikį. Dalis šio darbo bus paremta EUROFOUND bandomojo projekto „Gamybos ateitis“ (angl. FOME) rezultatais.

Siekdamas šį darbą tęsti 2021–2024 m. EUROFOUND bendradarbiaus su įvairiomis tarptautinėmis organizacijomis ir ES agentūromis, pavyzdžiui, Europos aplinkos agentūra (EAA), kovos su klimato kaita politikos socialinio poveikio srityje. Be to, bus glaudžiau bendradarbiaujama su kitais mokslinius tyrimus atliekančiais subjektais skaitmeninimo srityje: Jungtiniu tyrimų centru (JRC), Europos Sąjungos pagrindinių teisių agentūra (FRA) ir Europos darbuotojų saugos ir sveikatos agentūra (EU-OSHA). Kintančios darbo rinkos klausimu taip pat numatoma toliau stiprinti partnerystę su Tarptautine darbo organizacija (TDO).

„ES ekonomikai ir darbo rinkoms būdingas didžiųjų tendencijų poveikis, visų pirma skaitmeninimas ir perėjimas prie anglies dioksido neišskiriančios ekonomikos. Svarbu išnagrinėti, kaip būtent toks perėjimas veikia, kas keičiasi ir kaip tai veikia ne tik įmones, bet ir darbo jėgą ir visuomenę.“

Irene Mandl, Užimtumo skyriaus vadovė

Topic

Recent updates

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Regulatory responses to algorithmic management in the EU

Since 2013, Eurofound's ERM database on restructuring-related legislation has been documenting regulatory developments in the Member States of the European Union and Norway. The most recent update to the database...

Article
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Not only do we need appropriate policy measures to drive the shift to a carbon-neutral economy, we also need sound policy to ensure no one is left behind – we...

Blog

Pagrindiniai politikos siekiai

Infografikas

Pagrindiniais EUROFOUND tyrimų rezultatais politikos formuotojai vadovaujasi spręsdami tam tikrus svarbius šios srities klausimus.

  • Labai svarbu remti darbdavius ir darbuotojus dvejopos pertvarkos metu pereinant prie skaitmeninio amžiaus ir anglies dioksido neišskiriančios ekonomikos. Be šių struktūrinių pokyčių Europos ekonomikai ir darbo rinkai didžiulių sunkumų kelia dabartinė COVID-19 pandemija.
  • Europos darbo rinkose daugėja naujų užimtumo formų, pavyzdžiui, darbas skaitmeninėse platformose ir IRT pagrįstas mobilus darbas. Darbo rinkose naudojamos IRT ir joms būdingi nauji darbdavių ir darbuotojų darbo santykių tipai, kurie keičia darbo organizavimą ir darbo modelius. Tai atvers naujų galimybių ir kels tam tikrų pavojų ES darbo rinkose, kurios pereina prie anglies dioksido neišskiriančios ekonomikos ir skaitmeninės transformacijos, atsižvelgiant į COVID-19 pandemiją.
  • Skaitmeninės technologijos transformuoja darbą ir darbo vietas bei skatina darbo rinkų pokyčius, pavyzdžiui, restruktūrizavimą ir darbo vietų sumažėjimą, bet taip pat naujų profesinių profilių kūrimąsi. Dėl gamybos ir paslaugų teikimo skaitmeninimo pritaikomas darbo užduočių pobūdis. To rezultatas yra įvairių įgūdžių poreikis.
  • Bus svarbu ištirti bendrą skaitmeninimo ir perėjimo prie anglies dioksido neišskiriančios ekonomikos poveikį po COVID-19 pandemijos ir tai, kaip jie vienas kitą papildo arba kaip vieno iš jų teikiama nauda gali atsverti neigiamą kito poveikį.
  • Technologijomis grindžiamas potencialas rengti, rinkti ir naudoti didelius kiekius duomenų gali padidinti Europos įmonių ir darbo vietų kokybės konkurencingumą. Tačiau bus itin svarbu užtikrinti, kad būtų išaiškinti, tinkamai reglamentuojami ir įgyvendinami duomenų nuosavybės ir duomenų apsaugos klausimai, siekiant išvengti netinkamo duomenų panaudojimo ir neetiško elgesio.

2021–2024 work plan

From 2021 onwards, Eurofound will provide insights into the impact of these megatrends on living and working conditions in the EU. In the area of digitalisation, research will focus on the impact on employment and working conditions, as well as on the labour market. Areas to be covered will include social dialogue and its role in shaping structural change, regulatory frameworks, social protection and Artificial Intelligence (AI). Building on previous research on platform work, the 2021–2024 period will be an opportunity to focus on mapping and providing an assessment of the effectiveness of policy initiatives in tackling the challenges identified with platform work.

Eurofound will also aim to support the EU’s transition to a carbon-neutral economy, including the circular economy and the implementation of the EU’s recovery instrument NextGenerationEU, by investigating the socioeconomic effects. These include employment shifts and the transformation of jobs and working conditions, as well as the distributional impact of climate change policies. Some of this work will build on the results of a pilot project on the future of manufacturing (FOME) carried out by Eurofound.

To continue this work in 2021–2024, Eurofound will cooperate with various international organisations and EU agencies, for example with the European Environment Agency (EEA) in the area of social impacts of climate change policies. Furthermore, existing collaboration with other research actors in the fields of digitalisation – the Joint Research Centre (JRC), Fundamental Rights Agency (FRA) and European Agency for Safety and Health at Work (EU-OSHA) – will be consolidated. Further partnership with the International Labour Organization (ILO) is also foreseen on the subject of the changing world of work.

Addressing stakeholder priorities

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to address the transitions to both a carbon-neutral economy and the digital age in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as helping to understand the impact of these changes at EU and national levels. For example, research on the impact of these drivers of change on the workplace level will provide insight into how to best support employers and workers so they can seize the opportunities and mitigate the challenges related to these developments. Eurofound’s research will also seek to support businesses in their efforts to adapt to a constantly evolving global economy. Furthermore, the examination of the distributional impacts of climate change policies and of measures to ensure social justice will provide knowledge to help implement the Just Transition Fund. The monitoring of reforms and recent financial support will also allow for an exchange of policy approaches and lessons learned.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines for 2021–2024, feeding directly into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, the research will support the following Commission priorities:

 

Eurofound research

In 2024, Eurofound continues its research on the impact of digitalisation and the transition to a climate-neutral economy on working life. 

Various research strands linked with the digital and green transitions come to completion. This includes research into the impact of new developments in human–machine interaction on work organisation and working conditions. Research concludes on the impact of changes caused by the twin transitions at the sectoral level, focusing on the transformation of business activities, occupational and skill profiles, work organisation and working conditions. And analysis wraps up on the roles, opportunities and challenges of policy actors in the just transition, examining the design and implementation of Just Transition policies at the regional level, their mechanisms and the actors involved. 

Research continues on the impact of the green and digital transitions on the labour market and labour market actors with a project to explore company restructuring approaches and their ongoing adaptation strategies. Further research takes place on the socioeconomic impact of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy, monitoring the employment and social dimension of the green transition.

New research focuses on how managers’ roles and functions are impacted by the increase in telework and the shift towards more hybrid working in terms of challenges and opportunities.

The ongoing monitoring of the developments in the platform economy continues through Eurofound’s regularly updated web repository. Building on previous studies on platform work and the ongoing monitoring of policies and measures with regard to platform work through the web repository, new research focuses on the working conditions of online platform workers. This work aims to explore the characteristics of online platform workers and how they fare in relation to contractual arrangements and job quality, including pay, work intensity, working time, occupational health and safety, social environment and career prospects. It also explores the career goals of platform workers. 

Key outputs

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Eurofound's 2024 work programme is set in the context of the upcoming European elections, war in Ukraine, renewed Middle East conflict and rising cost of living across the EU.

23 Sausis 2024
Publication
Work programme
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2022-ųjų pradžia buvo kupina atsargaus optimizmo. Europa pamažu ėmė atsigauti po dvejus metus trukusios COVID-19 pandemijos, o "NextGenerationEU" ekonomikos gaivinimo planas numatė stiprios ir tvarios ateities kūrimo priemones. Tačiau metų...

4 Gegužė 2023
Publication
Annual report

Eurofound expert(s)

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Tina Weber is a research manager in Eurofound’s Working Life unit. Having previously shared her time between the Employment and Working Life units, her work has focused on labour...

Research manager,
Working life research unit
Publications results (64)

In this report, we provide projections of how the Fit for 55 policy package may affect the sectoral and occupational structure of employment in the EU by 2030, and the impacts across different regions and countries.

25 October 2023

Automation and digitisation technologies, including artificial intelligence, are rapidly evolving and becoming increasingly powerful and pervasive. The full range of their effects in the workplace is yet to be seen. It is, however, important not only to explore the ethical implications of digital te

12 September 2023

Šioje ataskaitoje nagrinėjama ES valstybių narių aplinkosauginės veiklos rezultatų dinamika ir kiek šių rezultatų skirtumai sumažėjo nuo XXI a. pirmojo dešimtmečio pradžios. Ataskaita parengta bendradarbiaujant EUROFOUND ir Europos aplinkos agentūrai; pastarosios techninė kompetencija konvergencijos

03 August 2023

Kad ES pereitų prie klimatui neutralios ekonomikos, būtina švari pramonės revoliucija. Šioje ataskaitoje, remiantis prognozavimo metodu, nagrinėjamas galimas tokių esminių pokyčių socialinis ir ekonominis poveikis įvairiems Europos regionams ir gyventojų grupėms. Siekiant geriau suprasti

19 June 2023

The rise of the platform economy during the last decade is one of the main disrupting forces for European labour markets. While standard employment remains the norm, platforms are expanding their reach and diversifying into novel business models. In doing so, they are also attracting an increasing n

16 May 2023

2022-ųjų pradžia buvo kupina atsargaus optimizmo. Europa pamažu ėmė atsigauti po dvejus metus trukusios COVID-19 pandemijos, o "NextGenerationEU" ekonomikos gaivinimo planas numatė stiprios ir tvarios ateities kūrimo priemones. Tačiau metų pradžioje Rusijai užpuolus Ukrainą, padėtis iš esmės

04 May 2023

Ataskaitoje nagrinėjami tikėtini ir įsivaizduojami scenarijai, kaip nuotolinis ir mišrus darbas ES galėtų keistis iki 2035 m., ir jų poveikis darbo rinkai. Kaip vadovai ir darbuotojai, darbdavių organizacijos ir profesinės sąjungos bei politikos formuotojai yra pasirengę šių darbo organizavimo formų

28 April 2023

This paper presents an analytical summary of current academic and policy literature on the impact of climate change and policies to manage the transition to a carbon-neutral economy on four key domains: employment, working conditions, social dialogue and living conditions. It maps the main empirical

12 April 2023

Mažmeninės bankininkystės sektorius labai tinka skaitmeninimo poveikiui darbui ir užimtumui tirti. Finansinės paslaugos vis dažniau teikiamos internetu, be tiesiogiai klientus aptarnaujančių įstaigų tarpininkavimo. Nuo pasaulinės finansų krizės daugelyje šio sektoriaus bankų vykdomas nuoseklus

26 September 2022

Digitisation and automation technologies, including artificial intelligence (AI), can affect working conditions in a variety of ways and their use in the workplace raises a host of new ethical concerns. Recently, the policy debate surrounding these concerns has become more prominent and has

30 May 2022

Online resources results (48)

Biomedical healthcare industry - visions of the future

/This second article in the Sector Futures series on the biomedical healthcare sector focuses on the main factors shaping the present and future of the industry. It assesses the major trends and drivers, and evaluates different scenarios for the biomedical healthcare industry. The article also

Biomedical healthcare industry - what future?

/The biomedical healthcare sector comprises biotechnologies dedicated to the treatment of human beings. The first of three articles in the Sector Futures series on biomedical healthcare looks at key features of the sector, including the size and structure of its market, the nature of employment, the

The chemicals sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on current foresight studies and reliable data sources. December 2005 features the second and third article in the series on the future of the chemicals sector, excluding pharmaceuticals. The articles explore the trends and drivers likely to shape

The hotels and catering sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. December 2005 features the complete Sector Futures article series on the hotels and catering sector. It sets out by defining the sector

The knowledge-intensive business services sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. The second article in the Sector Futures series on the knowledge-intensive business sector explores, in greater depth, the reasons for the

The transport sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. The third article in the series on the transport sector (May 2005) explores some of the issues that have arisen from policies of the

The food and drink sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. The third feature in this series on the food and drink sector (January 2005) discusses the future of Europe’s food and drink manufacturing

The health and social services sector - what future?

/Sector Futures provides specialised reports based on the monitoring of existing foresight studies, scenario work, innovation studies and reliable data sources. January 2005 features the third and last article in the series on the future of the health and social services sector. The paper examines


Blogs results (27)
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While 2020 may come to be seen as the year platform work gathered pace and started to go mainstream – thanks in large part to COVID-19 containment measures sparking an increase in food and grocery delivery – 2021 could be the year that regulation of platform work is set in motion. The well-known tax

24 Vasaris 2021
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​​​​​​​With remote working becoming the new normal for many workers, it is surely the case that many employers are anxious to ensure that their employees are putting in full working days. Companies are likely to be investing in and deploying digital technologies for tracking employee performance muc

9 Gruodis 2020
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Whatever the benefits of telework – and there are many, including more flexible working time, increased productivity and less commuting – there are drawbacks, as many of the one-third of Europeans who were exclusively working from home during the pandemic will attest. Primary among these is the ‘alw

3 Gruodis 2020
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As Europe braces for a winter wave of the Coronavirus, behind the public health indicators that rightly dominate the headlines, a revolution in working life is under way. In early spring, millions of people throughout Europe took their work home and tried to rapidly adjust to the new world in which

12 Lapkritis 2020
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Fear has been mounting in the debate around new technologies and the implications for the future of work. But the Coronavirus outbreak is unveiling some real positives of technological advances. Digital communication tools are supporting and enhancing working from home, while innovative companies ar

6 Balandis 2020
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We hear more and more about the platform economy, with the debate often revolving around the potential long-term implications of its growth on the labour market and the impact on traditional and established businesses and industries.

28 Sausis 2020
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It feels like every day there are new articles or blog posts about how Uber drivers are exploited, or on the bad working conditions and safety standards for Deliveroo riders. In an era of ‘fake news’ can we trust that these are accurate? They most likely are, and I agree that things are not all rosy

17 Spalis 2019
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The spread of ICT in the economy is changing both the types of jobs that employ people and the types of tasks that people perform in their jobs. The latest research on the content of work suggests that computerisation has boosted the proportion of jobs with social interaction at their core, while at

1 Liepa 2019
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Imagine you’re at work and something happens: you have to leave to visit a client, you have to go home to let in the plumber, or you have to collect the kids from school as the football training has just been cancelled. If you’re lucky, your employer gives you the flexibility to do this. If you’re e

14 Gegužė 2019

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