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Antecipação e gestão do impacto da mudança

A antecipação e gestão do impacto da mudança é uma das seis atividades principais do programa de trabalho da Eurofound para o período de 2021-2024. A Eurofound fornecerá dados sobre os desenvolvimentos estruturais que afetam a economia e os mercados de trabalho da UE, impulsionados, em grande medida, pela digitalização e pela transição para uma economia neutra em carbono, mas também pela crise da COVID-19. A investigação destina-se a auxiliar os decisores políticos na antecipação e preparação dos mercados de trabalho e dos locais de trabalho europeus para estas mudanças.

A partir de 2021, a Eurofound fornecerá informações sobre o impacto destas megatendências nas condições de vida e de trabalho na UE. No domínio da digitalização, a investigação incidirá no impacto no emprego e nas condições de trabalho, bem como no mercado de trabalho. Os domínios a abranger incluirão o diálogo social e o seu papel na definição das mudanças estruturais, dos quadros regulamentares, da proteção social e da inteligência artificial (IA). Com base em estudos anteriores relativamente ao trabalho em plataformas em linha, o período de 2021-2024 constituirá uma oportunidade para se centrar no mapeamento e na avaliação da eficácia das iniciativas políticas na resposta aos desafios identificados com o trabalho em plataformas em linha.

A Eurofound procurará também apoiar a transição da UE para uma economia neutra em carbono, incluindo a economia circular e a execução do Instrumento de Recuperação da União Europeia, Next Generation EU, investigando os efeitos socioeconómicos. Estes incluem as mudanças no emprego e a transformação dos empregos e das condições de trabalho, bem como o impacto distributivo das políticas para as alterações climáticas. Alguns destes trabalhos basear-se-ão nos resultados de um projeto-piloto sobre o futuro da indústria transformadora (FOME) realizado pela Eurofound.

Para dar continuidade a este trabalho em 2021-2024, a Eurofound cooperará com várias organizações internacionais e agências da UE, por exemplo com a Agência Europeia do Ambiente (AEA) no domínio dos impactos sociais das políticas para as alterações climáticas. Além disso, será consolidada a colaboração existente com outros intervenientes na investigação nos domínios da digitalização — o Centro Comum de Investigação (CCI), a Agência dos Direitos Fundamentais da União Europeia (FRA) e a Agência Europeia para a Segurança e Saúde no Trabalho (EU-OSHA). Está também prevista uma parceria mais ampla com a Organização Internacional do Trabalho (OIT) sobre o mundo do trabalho em transformação.

«A economia e os mercados de trabalho da UE caracterizam-se pelo impacto das megatendências, nomeadamente a digitalização e a transição para uma economia neutra em carbono. É importante analisar de que forma estas transições estão a funcionar exatamente, o que está a mudar e a forma como isto terá impacto não só nas empresas, mas também na mão-de-obra e na sociedade.»

Irene Mandl, Chefe da Unidade de Emprego

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Recent updates

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Data story

Principais mensagens das políticas

Infografia

As principais conclusões da investigação da Eurofound servem de contributo para os decisores políticos abordarem algumas das questões-chave neste domínio.

  • É fundamental apoiar os empregadores e os trabalhadores na dupla transição para a era digital e para uma economia neutra em carbono. Para além destes desenvolvimentos estruturais, a recente pandemia da COVID-19 representa um enorme desafio para a economia e o mercado de trabalho europeus.
  • As novas formas de emprego, tais como o trabalho em plataformas em linha e o trabalho móvel baseado nas TIC, estão cada vez mais presentes nos mercados de trabalho europeus. Impulsionadas pela utilização das TIC, caracterizam-se pelos novos tipos de relações laborais entre entidade empregadora e empregado, introduzindo alterações à organização do trabalho e aos padrões de trabalho. Estas novas formas de emprego criarão oportunidades e riscos para os mercados de trabalho da UE, que enfrentam a transição para uma economia neutra em carbono e para uma transformação digital, no contexto da pandemia da COVID-19.
  • As tecnologias digitais estão a transformar o trabalho e o local de trabalho, desencadeando mudanças no mercado de trabalho, tais como a reestruturação e a perda de postos de trabalho, e começam também a surgir novos perfis de emprego. Os perfis das tarefas nos empregos estão a adaptar-se devido à digitalização da produção e da prestação de serviços. O resultado é uma procura por competências diferentes.
  • Será importante investigar os efeitos conjuntos da digitalização e da transição para uma economia neutra em carbono na sequência da pandemia da COVID-19, e a forma como se reforçam mutuamente, ou como os benefícios de uma podem compensar os efeitos negativos da outra.
  • O potencial tecnológico para produzir, recolher e utilizar uma grande quantidade de dados pode melhorar a competitividade das empresas europeias e a qualidade do emprego. No entanto, será fundamental garantir que questões como a propriedade dos dados e a proteção dos dados sejam clarificadas, bem regulamentadas e aplicadas, a fim de evitar a exploração e comportamentos não éticos.

2021–2024 work plan

From 2021 onwards, Eurofound will provide insights into the impact of these megatrends on living and working conditions in the EU. In the area of digitalisation, research will focus on the impact on employment and working conditions, as well as on the labour market. Areas to be covered will include social dialogue and its role in shaping structural change, regulatory frameworks, social protection and Artificial Intelligence (AI). Building on previous research on platform work, the 2021–2024 period will be an opportunity to focus on mapping and providing an assessment of the effectiveness of policy initiatives in tackling the challenges identified with platform work.

Eurofound will also aim to support the EU’s transition to a carbon-neutral economy, including the circular economy and the implementation of the EU’s recovery instrument NextGenerationEU, by investigating the socioeconomic effects. These include employment shifts and the transformation of jobs and working conditions, as well as the distributional impact of climate change policies. Some of this work will build on the results of a pilot project on the future of manufacturing (FOME) carried out by Eurofound.

To continue this work in 2021–2024, Eurofound will cooperate with various international organisations and EU agencies, for example with the European Environment Agency (EEA) in the area of social impacts of climate change policies. Furthermore, existing collaboration with other research actors in the fields of digitalisation – the Joint Research Centre (JRC), Fundamental Rights Agency (FRA) and European Agency for Safety and Health at Work (EU-OSHA) – will be consolidated. Further partnership with the International Labour Organization (ILO) is also foreseen on the subject of the changing world of work.

Addressing stakeholder priorities

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to address the transitions to both a carbon-neutral economy and the digital age in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as helping to understand the impact of these changes at EU and national levels. For example, research on the impact of these drivers of change on the workplace level will provide insight into how to best support employers and workers so they can seize the opportunities and mitigate the challenges related to these developments. Eurofound’s research will also seek to support businesses in their efforts to adapt to a constantly evolving global economy. Furthermore, the examination of the distributional impacts of climate change policies and of measures to ensure social justice will provide knowledge to help implement the Just Transition Fund. The monitoring of reforms and recent financial support will also allow for an exchange of policy approaches and lessons learned.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines for 2021–2024, feeding directly into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, the research will support the following Commission priorities:

 

Eurofound research

In 2024, Eurofound continues its research on the impact of digitalisation and the transition to a climate-neutral economy on working life. 

Various research strands linked with the digital and green transitions come to completion. This includes research into the impact of new developments in human–machine interaction on work organisation and working conditions. Research concludes on the impact of changes caused by the twin transitions at the sectoral level, focusing on the transformation of business activities, occupational and skill profiles, work organisation and working conditions. And analysis wraps up on the roles, opportunities and challenges of policy actors in the just transition, examining the design and implementation of Just Transition policies at the regional level, their mechanisms and the actors involved. 

Research continues on the impact of the green and digital transitions on the labour market and labour market actors with a project to explore company restructuring approaches and their ongoing adaptation strategies. Further research takes place on the socioeconomic impact of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy, monitoring the employment and social dimension of the green transition.

New research focuses on how managers’ roles and functions are impacted by the increase in telework and the shift towards more hybrid working in terms of challenges and opportunities.

The ongoing monitoring of the developments in the platform economy continues through Eurofound’s regularly updated web repository. Building on previous studies on platform work and the ongoing monitoring of policies and measures with regard to platform work through the web repository, new research focuses on the working conditions of online platform workers. This work aims to explore the characteristics of online platform workers and how they fare in relation to contractual arrangements and job quality, including pay, work intensity, working time, occupational health and safety, social environment and career prospects. It also explores the career goals of platform workers. 

Key outputs

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Eurofound's 2024 work programme is set in the context of the upcoming European elections, war in Ukraine, renewed Middle East conflict and rising cost of living across the EU.

23 Janeiro 2024
Publication
Work programme
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O ano de 2022 começou com um otimismo cauteloso. A Europa emergiu de dois anos da pandemia de COVID-19, com o instrumento NextGenerationEU a definir um plano para uma recuperação...

4 Maio 2023
Publication
Annual report

Eurofound expert(s)

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Tina Weber is a research manager in Eurofound’s Working Life unit. Having previously shared her time between the Employment and Working Life units, her work has focused on labour...

Research manager,
Working life research unit
Publications results (67)

New digital technologies have expanded the possibilities of employee monitoring and surveillance, both in and outside the workplace. In the context of the increasing digitalisation of work, there are many issues related to employee monitoring that warrant the attention of policymakers. As well as th

09 December 2020

Platform work– the matching of supply and demand for paid labour through an online platform – is still small in scale but is expected to grow. Accordingly, it is important to anticipate the opportunities and risks related to this business model and employment form. This report explores potential sce

21 September 2020

Developments in information and communication technology (ICT) have been among the key drivers of change in working life over the past two decades. Specifically, telework and ICT-based mobile work (TICTM) exemplifies how digital technology has led to more flexible workplace and working time practice

02 July 2020

What have been the major trends and policy developments regarding the flexibilisation of employment in recent years? Eurofound’s work programme for 2017–2020 set out to document and capture these changes in the world of work. This flagship publication provides an overview of developments in Europe

16 April 2020

To support the European Commission’s objective of ensuring Europe is fit for the digital age, this report examines the use of digital technologies in social services and the policies that promote digital transformation. The report explores some of the main issues involved in implementing digitalisat

02 April 2020

Innovation and technological advancement are natural features of developed economies, and they are necessary to maintain and improve sustainable competitiveness in an era of globalisation. However, while most innovation tends to be incremental, some has a disruptive effect on production and service

22 January 2020

Advances in ICT have opened the door to new ways of organising work. We are shifting from a regular, bureaucratic and ‘factory-based’ working time pattern towards a more flexible model of work. Telework and ICT-based mobile work (TICTM) has emerged in this transition, giving workers and employers th

16 January 2020

Accumulating evidence indicates that large metropolitan centres are faring much better than other regions within the Member States of the EU. Such interregional inequality contributes to disenchantment with existing political systems, which in turn can weaken the social bonds that ground democratic

07 October 2019

Platform work emerged onto European labour markets about a decade ago. While still small in scale, it is growing and evolving into a variety of forms. Different types of platform work have significantly different effects on the employment and working conditions of the affiliated workers.

23 September 2019

Eurofound’s European Restructuring Monitor (ERM) is a unique EU-wide dataset on larger-scale restructuring events, which monitors the announced employment effects of restructuring in the EU28 and Norway. Using reports from selected media titles, the ERM is updated on a daily basis. This report gives

16 May 2019

Online resources results (49)

Human–robot interaction: What changes in the workplace?

Explore our digital report summary. Understanding how workers and robots interact and the implications for work organisation and working conditions is crucial for robots’ successful integration into the workplace.

Regulatory responses to algorithmic management in the EU

Since 2013, Eurofound's ERM database on restructuring-related legislation has been documenting regulatory developments in the Member States of the European Union and Norway. The most recent update to the database captures new legislation concerning the use of algorithmic management in the employment

Climate change objectives and decarbonisation measures are vital for the future of Europe. But how will these objectives impact employment and the labour market? In this episode of the Eurofound Talks podcast series, Mary McCaughey speaks with Eurofound Senior Research Manager John Hurley about new

22 Novembro 2023
Image of a group of cyclists crossing at a street junction.

Facing up to the social realities of the green transition

The European Green Deal binds the European Union to becoming a climate-neutral territory by 2050. As part of this, the European Climate Law (June 2021) commits the EU to reducing greenhouse gas emissions by at least 55% (compared with 1990 levels) by 2030. To achieve this, a fundamental transformati

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Coronavirus highlights sick pay void for platform workers

The coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak is starting to have a serious impact on the world economy. The consequences for platform workers are especially severe in light of forced work stoppages due to self-isolation and lack of sick pay in many cases. Recent media coverage shows that platform workers in

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Amazon’s expansion in Europe

The U.S. online retail giant Amazon is investing heavily in Europe, creating 11,580 jobs in 2018 alone. As Europe turns towards e-commerce, automation and digitalisation, Amazon will play a key role in reshaping the retail sector. But its impacts are unlikely to be confined to retail alone.

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Lloyds bank’s digital transformation

Lloyds Banking Group is investing £3 billion (€3.35 billion) in technology and staff to improve its digital services. As a result, the Group has announced that it is cutting over 6,000 existing positions while creating 8,000 new jobs oriented towards digital technologies. The move reflects the growi

Platform work and employment conditions Informal meeting of EU Employment and Social Policy Ministers (EPSCO), 19 July 2018, Vienna, Austria Presentation by Juan Menéndez-Valdés, Director, Eurofound

19 Julho 2018

Task profiles development in response to future job needs EMCO meeting, 22 March 2018, Sofia, Bulgaria Presentation by Martina Bisello, Research Officer, Eurofound

27 Março 2018

Blogs results (27)
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In the abstract, platform work is the matching of supply and demand for paid work through an online platform. In practice, most people are likely to have encountered it through big online platforms such as Uber, Deliveroo or Amazon Mechanical Turk. This is a new form employment that began to emerge

2 Novembro 2018
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Manual jobs in European manufacturing are being transformed as blue-collar workers take on more intellectual tasks. This is a consequence of the increasing use of digital tools and the growing importance of quality control in production. The severe losses of middle-paying jobs in the manufacturing s

27 Setembro 2018
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Digital technologies are transforming work, but the implications have not yet been fully grasped. In a recent Eurofound report, we focus on three main vectors of change to discuss the effects of digital technologies on work and employment and the policy responses such change demands.

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There are fears that thousands of jobs could be lost in financial services following the UK’s exit from the European Union. This blog piece explores some of the implications of Brexit for London’s financial hub, including the reactions of US banks.

12 Fevereiro 2018
New-generation cars boost manufacturing employment

Rising levels of employment in manufacturing in the EU since 2013 have seen the part reversal of a long-term decline in employment in this sector. Data from the European Restructuring Monitor (ERM) database to early September 2017 show that, for the first time since 2005, the number of new manufactu

25 Outubro 2017
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In the digital age, there are fewer routine jobs because of a higher risk of automation. But a great paradox of this age is this: workers in most types of jobs, including high-skilled ones, are reporting higher levels of routine at work. This emerges from a new study of the task content of occupatio

28 Setembro 2016
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Since the advent of the Industrial Revolution, technological change has brought both opportunities and risks. However, the widespread entry of computing technology into the workplace in the 1980s, and in particular the arrival of the World Wide Web in the 1990s, has profoundly affected society and t

25 Maio 2016

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