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Predvídanie a riadenie vplyvu zmeny

Predvídanie a riadenie vplyvu zmeny je jednou zo šiestich hlavných aktivít pracovného programu nadácie Eurofound na obdobie 2021 – 2024. Eurofound poskytne dôkazy o štrukturálnom vývoji ovplyvňujúcom európske hospodárstvo a trhy práce, ktorého hybnou silou je predovšetkým digitalizáciaa prechod na uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo, ale aj krízaCOVID-19. Cieľom tohto výskumu je pomôcť tvorcom politík predvídať a pripraviť európske trhy práce a pracoviská na tieto zmeny.

Od roku 2021 bude Eurofound poskytovať informácie o vplyve týchto megatrendov na životné a pracovné podmienky v EÚ. V oblasti digitalizácie sa výskum zameria na vplyv na zamestnanosť a pracovné podmienky, ako aj na trh práce. Medzi zahrnuté oblasti patrí sociálny dialóg a jeho úloha pri formovaní štrukturálnych zmien, regulačné rámce, sociálna ochrana a umelá inteligencia (AI). V nadväznosti na predchádzajúci výskum práce pre platformy budú roky 2021 – 2024 príležitosťou zamerať sa na mapovanie a hodnotenie účinnosti politických iniciatív pri riešení výziev identifikovaných pri práci pre platformy.

Cieľom nadácie Eurofound bude aj podpora prechodu EÚ na uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo vrátane obehového hospodárstva a implementácie nástroja obnovy EÚ NextGenerationEU, a to pomocou skúmania sociálno-ekonomických účinkov. Patria sem zmeny zamestnania a transformácia pracovných miest a pracovných podmienok, ako aj distribučný vplyv politík v oblasti zmeny klímy. Niektoré z týchto prác budú nadväzovať na výsledky pilotného projektu o budúcnosti výroby (FOME) , ktorý uskutočnila nadácia Eurofound.

Pri pokračovaní v tejto práci počas rokov 2021 – 2024 bude Eurofound spolupracovať s rôznymi medzinárodnými organizáciami a agentúrami EÚ, napríklad s Európskou environmentálnou agentúrou (EEA) v oblasti sociálnych vplyvov politík v oblasti zmeny klímy. Okrem toho sa upevní existujúca spolupráca s ostatnými aktérmi výskumu v oblasti digitalizácie, ktorými sú Spoločné výskumné centrum (JRC), Agentúra pre základné práva (FRA) a Európska agentúra pre bezpečnosť a ochranu zdravia pri práci (EU-OSHA). Plánuje sa aj ďalšie partnerstvo s Medzinárodnou organizáciou práce (MOP) v oblasti meniaceho sa sveta práce.

„Pre hospodárstvo a trhy práce EÚ je charakteristický vplyv megatrendov, najmä digitalizácie a prechodu na uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo. Dôležité je preskúmať presný spôsob fungovania týchto prechodov, čo sa mení a aký to bude mať vplyv nielen na organizácie, ale aj na pracovnú silu a spoločnosť.“

Irene Mandl, vedúca oddelenia zamestnanosti

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Kľúčové politické odkazy

Infografika

Hlavné zistenia vyplývajúce z výskumu nadácie Eurofound slúžia ako vstup pre tvorcov politík pri riešení niektorých kľúčových problémov v tejto oblasti.

  • Podpora zamestnávateľov a pracovníkov pri dvojitom prechode na digitálny vek a uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo je zásadná. Okrem tohto štrukturálneho vývoja predstavuje nedávna pandémia COVID-19 obrovskú výzvu pre európske hospodárstvo a trh práce.
  • Na európskych trhoch práce sa čoraz viac objavujú nové formy zamestnania, napríklad práca pre platformy a mobilná práca s využitím IKT. Ich hybnou silou je využívanie IKT a vyznačujú sa novými typmi pracovnoprávnych vzťahov medzi zamestnávateľom a zamestnancom, meniacou sa organizáciou práce a pracovnými režimami. Prinesú príležitosti aj riziká pre trhy práce v EÚ, ktoré riešia prechod na uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo a digitálnu transformáciu na pozadí pandémie COVID-19.
  • Digitálne technológie transformujú prácu a pracovisko, prinášajú zmeny na trhu práce, ako sú napríklad reštrukturalizácia a strata pracovných miest a začínajú sa objavovať aj nové profily pracovných miest. Profily úloh v rámci pracovných miest sa prispôsobujú z dôvodu digitalizácie výroby a poskytovania služieb. Výsledkom je dopyt po odlišných zručnostiach.
  • Dôležité bude preskúmať spoločné účinky digitalizácie a prechodu na uhlíkovo neutrálne hospodárstvo po pandémii COVID-19 a to, ako sa navzájom posilňujú alebo ako môžu výhody jedného kompenzovať negatívne účinky druhého.
  • Technologický potenciál na výrobu, zber a použitie veľkého množstva údajov môže zlepšiť konkurencieschopnosť európskych podnikov a kvalitu pracovných miest. Kľúčom k tomu, ako zabrániť vykorisťovaniu a neetickému správaniu, bude však zabezpečiť objasnenie, správnu reguláciu a implementáciu vlastníctva a ochrany údajov.

2021–2024 work plan

From 2021 onwards, Eurofound will provide insights into the impact of these megatrends on living and working conditions in the EU. In the area of digitalisation, research will focus on the impact on employment and working conditions, as well as on the labour market. Areas to be covered will include social dialogue and its role in shaping structural change, regulatory frameworks, social protection and Artificial Intelligence (AI). Building on previous research on platform work, the 2021–2024 period will be an opportunity to focus on mapping and providing an assessment of the effectiveness of policy initiatives in tackling the challenges identified with platform work.

Eurofound will also aim to support the EU’s transition to a carbon-neutral economy, including the circular economy and the implementation of the EU’s recovery instrument NextGenerationEU, by investigating the socioeconomic effects. These include employment shifts and the transformation of jobs and working conditions, as well as the distributional impact of climate change policies. Some of this work will build on the results of a pilot project on the future of manufacturing (FOME) carried out by Eurofound.

To continue this work in 2021–2024, Eurofound will cooperate with various international organisations and EU agencies, for example with the European Environment Agency (EEA) in the area of social impacts of climate change policies. Furthermore, existing collaboration with other research actors in the fields of digitalisation – the Joint Research Centre (JRC), Fundamental Rights Agency (FRA) and European Agency for Safety and Health at Work (EU-OSHA) – will be consolidated. Further partnership with the International Labour Organization (ILO) is also foreseen on the subject of the changing world of work.

Addressing stakeholder priorities

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to address the transitions to both a carbon-neutral economy and the digital age in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as helping to understand the impact of these changes at EU and national levels. For example, research on the impact of these drivers of change on the workplace level will provide insight into how to best support employers and workers so they can seize the opportunities and mitigate the challenges related to these developments. Eurofound’s research will also seek to support businesses in their efforts to adapt to a constantly evolving global economy. Furthermore, the examination of the distributional impacts of climate change policies and of measures to ensure social justice will provide knowledge to help implement the Just Transition Fund. The monitoring of reforms and recent financial support will also allow for an exchange of policy approaches and lessons learned.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines for 2021–2024, feeding directly into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, the research will support the following Commission priorities:

 

Eurofound research

In 2024, Eurofound continues its research on the impact of digitalisation and the transition to a climate-neutral economy on working life. 

Various research strands linked with the digital and green transitions come to completion. This includes research into the impact of new developments in human–machine interaction on work organisation and working conditions. Research concludes on the impact of changes caused by the twin transitions at the sectoral level, focusing on the transformation of business activities, occupational and skill profiles, work organisation and working conditions. And analysis wraps up on the roles, opportunities and challenges of policy actors in the just transition, examining the design and implementation of Just Transition policies at the regional level, their mechanisms and the actors involved. 

Research continues on the impact of the green and digital transitions on the labour market and labour market actors with a project to explore company restructuring approaches and their ongoing adaptation strategies. Further research takes place on the socioeconomic impact of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy, monitoring the employment and social dimension of the green transition.

New research focuses on how managers’ roles and functions are impacted by the increase in telework and the shift towards more hybrid working in terms of challenges and opportunities.

The ongoing monitoring of the developments in the platform economy continues through Eurofound’s regularly updated web repository. Building on previous studies on platform work and the ongoing monitoring of policies and measures with regard to platform work through the web repository, new research focuses on the working conditions of online platform workers. This work aims to explore the characteristics of online platform workers and how they fare in relation to contractual arrangements and job quality, including pay, work intensity, working time, occupational health and safety, social environment and career prospects. It also explores the career goals of platform workers. 

Key outputs

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Eurofound's 2024 work programme is set in the context of the upcoming European elections, war in Ukraine, renewed Middle East conflict and rising cost of living across the EU.

23 január 2024
Publication
Work programme
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Úvod roka 2022 priniesol opatrný optimizmus. Európa sa vymanila z dvoch rokov pandémie ochorenia COVID-19, pričom v nástroji NextGenerationEU sa stanovuje plán obnovy, ktorým sa buduje silná a udržateľná budúcnosť...

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Eurofound expert(s)

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Tina Weber is a research manager in Eurofound’s Working Life unit. Having previously shared her time between the Employment and Working Life units, her work has focused on labour...

Research manager,
Working life research unit
Publications results (67)

The Foundation Seminar Series (FSS) is an opportunity for governments, trade unions and employers to share knowledge and experiences on the development of EU social, employment and work-related policies.

23 December 2016

The European Jobs Monitor 2016 looks at 2011 Q2–2015 Q2 employment shifts at Member State and aggregate EU level. A ‘jobs-based’ approach is used to describe employment shifts quantitatively (how many jobs were created or destroyed) and qualitatively (what kinds of jobs). It also introduces a new se

20 June 2016

The European Restructuring Monitor (ERM) annual report for 2015 explores the issue of job creation in small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). SMEs are increasingly recognised as a job engine for Europe. However, given the heterogeneity of the vast SME population, not all contribute equally to

27 January 2016

Smartphone car service Uber, a successful company example of the sharing economy, has spread to many EU Member States in recent years. However, many employers and unions are concerned about its challenge to fair competition for other businesses in the sector and about the erosion of working conditio

25 January 2016

Europe has begun to emerge from the prolonged slump caused by the global financial crisis in 2008 and exacerbated by the euro zone single-currency crisis in 2010–2011. In the last year, aggregate employment levels have risen faster than at any time since 2008. This, the fourth annual European Jobs

09 July 2015

Across Europe, new forms of employment are emerging that are different from traditional standard or non-standard employment in a number of ways. Some transform the relationship between employer and employee, some change work organisation and work patterns, and some do both. This report identifies ni

12 March 2015

While restructuring is increasingly acknowledged as an inherent characteristic of economic development and receives substantial policy attention at European and Member State level, the regional perspective on it is rarely discussed. However, most large-scale restructurings affect the regions and

09 September 2014

Traditional theory about international business suggests that companies first establish a solid home market and go global only in later stages of their life cycle. However, this view is challenged by research that shows that some firms internationalise quickly after start-up – so-called ‘born

07 January 2013

'What drives change' was the question discussed by 150 participants representing the Social Partners, European organisations and the European Institutions at a conference in Brussels - October 23, 2001. The conference, organised by the Foundation under the auspices of the Belgian Presidency marked

26 August 2012

An estimated 14 million workers across Europe rely on the automotive sector for work. When the current economic downturn began to affect vehicle production, profound changes were already underway in the sector, triggered by the emergence of new markets and the search for lower production and labour

08 February 2011

Online resources results (49)

Human–robot interaction: What changes in the workplace?

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Regulatory responses to algorithmic management in the EU

Since 2013, Eurofound's ERM database on restructuring-related legislation has been documenting regulatory developments in the Member States of the European Union and Norway. The most recent update to the database captures new legislation concerning the use of algorithmic management in the employment

Climate change objectives and decarbonisation measures are vital for the future of Europe. But how will these objectives impact employment and the labour market? In this episode of the Eurofound Talks podcast series, Mary McCaughey speaks with Eurofound Senior Research Manager John Hurley about new

22 november 2023
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Facing up to the social realities of the green transition

The European Green Deal binds the European Union to becoming a climate-neutral territory by 2050. As part of this, the European Climate Law (June 2021) commits the EU to reducing greenhouse gas emissions by at least 55% (compared with 1990 levels) by 2030. To achieve this, a fundamental transformati

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Coronavirus highlights sick pay void for platform workers

The coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak is starting to have a serious impact on the world economy. The consequences for platform workers are especially severe in light of forced work stoppages due to self-isolation and lack of sick pay in many cases. Recent media coverage shows that platform workers in

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Amazon’s expansion in Europe

The U.S. online retail giant Amazon is investing heavily in Europe, creating 11,580 jobs in 2018 alone. As Europe turns towards e-commerce, automation and digitalisation, Amazon will play a key role in reshaping the retail sector. But its impacts are unlikely to be confined to retail alone.

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Lloyds bank’s digital transformation

Lloyds Banking Group is investing £3 billion (€3.35 billion) in technology and staff to improve its digital services. As a result, the Group has announced that it is cutting over 6,000 existing positions while creating 8,000 new jobs oriented towards digital technologies. The move reflects the growi

Platform work and employment conditions Informal meeting of EU Employment and Social Policy Ministers (EPSCO), 19 July 2018, Vienna, Austria Presentation by Juan Menéndez-Valdés, Director, Eurofound

19 júl 2018

Task profiles development in response to future job needs EMCO meeting, 22 March 2018, Sofia, Bulgaria Presentation by Martina Bisello, Research Officer, Eurofound

27 marec 2018

Blogs results (27)
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In the abstract, platform work is the matching of supply and demand for paid work through an online platform. In practice, most people are likely to have encountered it through big online platforms such as Uber, Deliveroo or Amazon Mechanical Turk. This is a new form employment that began to emerge

2 november 2018
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Manual jobs in European manufacturing are being transformed as blue-collar workers take on more intellectual tasks. This is a consequence of the increasing use of digital tools and the growing importance of quality control in production. The severe losses of middle-paying jobs in the manufacturing s

27 september 2018
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Digital technologies are transforming work, but the implications have not yet been fully grasped. In a recent Eurofound report, we focus on three main vectors of change to discuss the effects of digital technologies on work and employment and the policy responses such change demands.

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There are fears that thousands of jobs could be lost in financial services following the UK’s exit from the European Union. This blog piece explores some of the implications of Brexit for London’s financial hub, including the reactions of US banks.

12 február 2018
New-generation cars boost manufacturing employment

Rising levels of employment in manufacturing in the EU since 2013 have seen the part reversal of a long-term decline in employment in this sector. Data from the European Restructuring Monitor (ERM) database to early September 2017 show that, for the first time since 2005, the number of new manufactu

25 október 2017
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In the digital age, there are fewer routine jobs because of a higher risk of automation. But a great paradox of this age is this: workers in most types of jobs, including high-skilled ones, are reporting higher levels of routine at work. This emerges from a new study of the task content of occupatio

28 september 2016
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Since the advent of the Industrial Revolution, technological change has brought both opportunities and risks. However, the widespread entry of computing technology into the workplace in the 1980s, and in particular the arrival of the World Wide Web in the 1990s, has profoundly affected society and t

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