Werkgelegenheid en arbeidsmarkten

Belangrijke beleidsboodschappen

De belangrijkste bevindingen van het onderzoek van Eurofound dienen als input voor beleidsmakers om een aantal van de belangrijkste kwesties op dit gebied aan te pakken.

• Voordat de economische gevolgen van de COVID-19-crisis zich ontwikkelden, had het herstel van de Europese arbeidsmarkt de arbeidsparticipatie in de EU dicht bij de EU-2020-doelstelling van 75 % gebracht. Deze crisis is weliswaar uniek van aard, maar uit eerdere crises is gebleken dat het behoud van de binding van werknemers met de arbeidsmarkt en, waar mogelijk, het verbeteren van vaardigheden belangrijk zijn voor een snel herstel.
• De werkgelegenheidsgroei is steeds het zwakst geweest bij gemiddeld betaalde banen – het meest merkbaar tijdens recessies – en steeds het sterkst bij goed betaalde banen.
• De stabiliteit van atypisch werk maskeert een toename van onzeker werk voor bepaalde groepen, waarbij een toenemend aantal werkenden een “ander contract” of “geen contract” heeft. De COVID-19-pandemie maakt de benarde situatie van de werkenden die het hardst door de crisis zijn geraakt en op langere termijn het zwaarst dreigen te worden getroffen, nog duidelijker.
• De groei van verschillende soorten atypisch werk leidt tot grotere verschillen op de arbeidsmarkten in de EU tussen goed beschermde werknemers en werknemers met beperkte toegang tot sociale bescherming en arbeidsrechten, wat bijdraagt tot een grotere segmentering van de arbeidsmarkt.Dit is met name het geval voor het groeiende aantal werkenden met “samengesteld atypisch” werk (met een mix van atypische arbeidsstatussen: bijvoorbeeld tijdelijk en deeltijd, zelfstandig en deeltijd).
• De huidige toename van onzekere banen vereist beleidsoplossingen om werknemers met beperkte toegang tot sociale bescherming en vertegenwoordiging te ondersteunen. Dit is des te relevanter in de context van de gevolgen van de COVID-19-uitbraak, die voor veel werknemers met een onzekere baan en zelfstandigen bijzondere existentiële risico’s met zich meebrengt.

During 2021–2024, Eurofound’s research will provide important insights into the challenges and prospects in the area of employment and labour markets in the EU. Eurofound has an important role to play in monitoring trends in the labour market, as well as monitoring the impact of these trends for different groups of workers.

Research will focus overall on the changing structure of the labour market using Eurofound’s well established monitoring instruments, the European Jobs Monitor (EJM) and the European Restructuring Monitor (ERM), alongside Eurostat data. With high levels of unemployment expected in some countries, regions, sectors and occupations, affecting also the most precarious and vulnerable workers, these instruments will help identify growing and declining sectors, occupations and qualifications. The ERM will also continue to examine large-scale restructuring events, legislative and support instruments, as well as measures developed by social partners and public authorities to assist workers transitioning between jobs or sectors.

Eurofound will also focus on labour shortages and under-utilised human resources and talent in certain sectors and occupations – accentuated during COVID-19 – by exploring policy interventions and company practices. Specific topics will include skills mismatches, working time, geographical or occupational mobility, and the integration of migrants, as well as covering groups underrepresented in the labour market such as young people, women and people with disabilities. Eurofound will also look at sectors traditionally affected by labour shortages, the issue becoming more urgent due to the pandemic. This activity will feed into the preparatory work for the next edition of the European Company Survey (ECS).

Eurofound’s collaboration with the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre (JRC) will also continue in this area. Research on restructuring will contribute to the European Globalisation Adjustment Fund (EGF) and the European Social Fund+ (ESF+) activities. Links with sister agency Cedefop and the European Labour Authority will be explored as regards skills and labour mobility in the context of employment policies aimed at tackling labour shortages.

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to provide knowledge to support structural change, particularly in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. It aims to help address the challenges facing the EU and national levels in the areas of employment and labour market structures.

Specifically, Eurofound collects data and analyses trends in employment and labour market developments, identifying and examining gaps and groups at risk, in order to provide the European Commission and other EU institutions, Member State bodies and social partners with the support needed to devise more effective employment policies.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines 2021–2024, directly feeding into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, Eurofound’s research will support policy initiatives under the European Pillar of Social Rights in the aftermath of the COVID-19 crisis and activities linked to, among other initiatives, the European Gender Equality Strategy 2020–2025, the reinforced Youth Guarantee, the Youth Employment Support package, the skills agenda, as well as innovation and job creation and the European Commission’s proposal for adequate minimum wages in the EU.

• European Commission: Priorities 2019–2024: An economy that works for people
• European Commission: Priorities 2019–2024: A Europe fit for the digital age
• European Commission: Priorities 2019–2024: A European Green Deal

In 2024, Eurofound continues to monitor and analyse how the EU’s labour market structure is changing, looking at patterns related to employment status, workers’ demographic characteristics, and net job creation and job loss by sector and occupation, particularly in light of the challenges triggered by COVID-19 and Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Analysis draws on data from the European Jobs Monitor (EJM), European Restructuring Monitor (ERM) and Eurostat and the work involves ongoing updates to the EJM and ERM databases. 

In 2024, Eurofound publishes the findings of research investigating employment shifts across EU regions, from the pandemic to the recovery. In particular, the research focuses on the gap between urban/capital and rural areas and on patterns of sectoral specialisation which made some regions more exposed or resilient than others. The research investigates the evolution of telework across European regions, including the observed differences in the take up of regional telework. This work builds on the EJM regional analyses and the previous Eurofound/Joint Research Centre analysis on teleworkable jobs.

Eurofound finalises its analysis of the impact of short-time work schemes on retaining employment and securing incomes during the COVID-19 pandemic. One output from this project is a comparative database of the support measures used in the Member States. The research aims to derive policy lessons regarding effective instruments for future crises. 

Complementing earlier research on mapping the incidence of labour shortages and assessing policies to address shortages, Eurofound concludes its analysis of company/organisational practices. Some case studies look specifically at how displaced people from Ukraine have been integrated into the labour market. 

New research in 2024 investigates shifts in the employment structure in the first quarter of the 21st century, examining the pace of change (technological, globalisation/trade-related, demographic) and its impacts on labour markets.

Research begins on measuring job differences in task requirements and their implications for mobility and employment reallocation across the economy. It aims to determine the magnitude and the nature of changes in job tasks following a job move.

Work also commences on exploring wage determinants in the EU, with a specific focus on gender gaps. This research aims to identify correlations between trends in educational attainment and wages by gender, as well as the determinants of any mismatch between wages and education levels by gender.

• Resource: European Jobs Monitor 
• Resource: Restructuring events database
• Database: EU PolicyWatch