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Anticiperen op en omgaan met de gevolgen van verandering

Het anticiperen op en omgaan met de gevolgen van verandering is een van de zes hoofdactiviteiten in het werkprogramma van Eurofound voor de periode 2021-2024. Eurofound zal bewijsmateriaal verstrekken over structurele ontwikkelingen die van invloed zijn op de economie en de arbeidsmarkten van de EU en die voornamelijk het gevolg zijn van de digitalisering en de overgang naar een koolstofneutrale economie , maar ook van de COVID-19 -crisis. Het onderzoek is bedoeld om beleidsmakers bij te staan bij het anticiperen op en voorbereiden van de Europese arbeidsmarkten en werkplekken op deze veranderingen.

Vanaf 2021 zal Eurofound inzicht verschaffen in de impact van deze megatrends op de levens- en arbeidsomstandigheden in de EU. Op het gebied van digitalisering zal het onderzoek zich toespitsen op de gevolgen voor de werkgelegenheid, de arbeidsomstandigheden en de arbeidsmarkt. Hieronder vallen onder meer de sociale dialoog en de rol daarvan bij het vormgeven van structurele veranderingen, regelgevingskaders, sociale bescherming en kunstmatige intelligentie (AI). Voortbouwend op eerder onderzoek naar platformwerk zal de periode 2021-2024 gelegenheid bieden om de aandacht te richten op het in kaart brengen en beoordelen van de doeltreffendheid van beleidsinitiatieven bij het aanpakken van de uitdagingen die op het gebied van platformwerk zijn geconstateerd.

Eurofound zal ook de overgang van de EU naar een koolstofneutrale economie, met inbegrip van de circulaire economie en de tenuitvoerlegging van het EU-herstelinstrument NextGenerationEU, ondersteunen door de sociaaleconomische effecten te onderzoeken. Daarbij gaat het onder meer om verschuivingen in de werkgelegenheid en de transformatie van banen en arbeidsomstandigheden, alsook om verdelingseffecten van het klimaatveranderingsbeleid. Sommige van deze werkzaamheden zullen voortbouwen op de resultaten van een door Eurofound uitgevoerd proefproject over de toekomst van de productie (FOME) .

Om deze werkzaamheden in 2021-2024 voort te zetten, zal Eurofound samenwerken met verschillende internationale organisaties en EU-agentschappen, bijvoorbeeld met het Europees Milieuagentschap (EEA) op het gebied van de sociale gevolgen van het klimaatveranderingsbeleid. Voorts zal de bestaande samenwerking met andere onderzoeksactoren op het gebied van digitalisering — het Gemeenschappelijk Centrum voor onderzoek (JRC), het Bureau voor de grondrechten (FRA) en het Europees Agentschap voor veiligheid en gezondheid op het werk (EU-OSHA) — worden geconsolideerd. Er is ook voorzien in een verder partnerschap met de Internationale Arbeidsorganisatie (IAO) met betrekking tot de veranderende arbeidswereld.

“De economie en arbeidsmarkten van de EU worden gekenmerkt door de impact van megatrends, met name digitalisering en de overgang naar een koolstofneutrale economie. Het is belangrijk om na te gaan hoe deze transities precies werken, wat er verandert en welke gevolgen zij niet alleen voor bedrijven zullen hebben, maar ook voor de werknemers en de samenleving.”

Irene Mandl, hoofd van de eenheid Werkgelegenheid

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Belangrijke beleidsboodschappen

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De belangrijkste bevindingen van Eurofound-onderzoek dienen als input voor beleidsmakers om enkele van de belangrijkste kwesties op dit gebied aan te pakken.

  • Het is van cruciaal belang om werkgevers en werknemers te ondersteunen bij de gelijktijdige overgang naar het digitale tijdperk en naar een koolstofneutrale economie. Naast deze structurele ontwikkelingen vormt de recente COVID-19-pandemie een enorme uitdaging voor de Europese economie en arbeidsmarkt.
  • Nieuwe vormen van werkgelegenheid, zoals platformwerk en op ICT gebaseerde mobiele werkzaamheden spelen een steeds belangrijker rol op de Europese arbeidsmarkten. Gedreven door het gebruik van ICT worden deze gekenmerkt door nieuwe vormen van arbeidsrelaties tussen werkgever en werknemer en veranderende arbeidsorganisatie en werkpatronen. Zij brengen zowel kansen als risico’s met zich mee voor de arbeidsmarkten van de EU die worden geconfronteerd met de overgang naar een koolstofneutrale economie en een digitale transformatie tegen de achtergrond van de COVID-19-pandemie.
  • Digitale technologieën transformeren het werk en de werkplek en brengen veranderingen op de arbeidsmarkt teweeg, zoals herstructureringen en het verlies van banen, terwijl zich ook nieuwe beroepsprofielen beginnen af te tekenen. Functieprofielen veranderen door de digitalisering van de productie en de dienstverlening. Het resultaat is een vraag naar andere vaardigheden.
  • Het zal belangrijk zijn om de gezamenlijke effecten van de digitalisering en van de overgang naar een koolstofneutrale economie in het kielzog van de COVID-19-pandemieen de wijze waarop ze elkaar versterken te onderzoeken of na te gaan hoe de voordelen van de ene de negatieve effecten van de andere ontwikkeling kunnen compenseren.
  • Het technologiegedreven potentieel om een grote hoeveelheid gegevens te produceren, te verzamelen en te gebruiken kan het concurrentievermogen van het Europese bedrijfsleven en de kwaliteit van de werkgelegenheid verbeteren. Om uitbuiting en onethisch gedrag te voorkomen is het echter van essentieel belang dat kwesties als gegevenseigendom en gegevensbescherming worden verduidelijkt, goed worden gereguleerd en dat de desbetreffende regelgeving wordt gehandhaafd.

2021–2024 work plan

From 2021 onwards, Eurofound will provide insights into the impact of these megatrends on living and working conditions in the EU. In the area of digitalisation, research will focus on the impact on employment and working conditions, as well as on the labour market. Areas to be covered will include social dialogue and its role in shaping structural change, regulatory frameworks, social protection and Artificial Intelligence (AI). Building on previous research on platform work, the 2021–2024 period will be an opportunity to focus on mapping and providing an assessment of the effectiveness of policy initiatives in tackling the challenges identified with platform work.

Eurofound will also aim to support the EU’s transition to a carbon-neutral economy, including the circular economy and the implementation of the EU’s recovery instrument NextGenerationEU, by investigating the socioeconomic effects. These include employment shifts and the transformation of jobs and working conditions, as well as the distributional impact of climate change policies. Some of this work will build on the results of a pilot project on the future of manufacturing (FOME) carried out by Eurofound.

To continue this work in 2021–2024, Eurofound will cooperate with various international organisations and EU agencies, for example with the European Environment Agency (EEA) in the area of social impacts of climate change policies. Furthermore, existing collaboration with other research actors in the fields of digitalisation – the Joint Research Centre (JRC), Fundamental Rights Agency (FRA) and European Agency for Safety and Health at Work (EU-OSHA) – will be consolidated. Further partnership with the International Labour Organization (ILO) is also foreseen on the subject of the changing world of work.

Addressing stakeholder priorities

Eurofound’s research aims to assist policy action to address the transitions to both a carbon-neutral economy and the digital age in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as helping to understand the impact of these changes at EU and national levels. For example, research on the impact of these drivers of change on the workplace level will provide insight into how to best support employers and workers so they can seize the opportunities and mitigate the challenges related to these developments. Eurofound’s research will also seek to support businesses in their efforts to adapt to a constantly evolving global economy. Furthermore, the examination of the distributional impacts of climate change policies and of measures to ensure social justice will provide knowledge to help implement the Just Transition Fund. The monitoring of reforms and recent financial support will also allow for an exchange of policy approaches and lessons learned.

The Agency’s work plan is aligned with the European Commission’s political guidelines for 2021–2024, feeding directly into a number of key policy areas aimed at creating a strong social Europe. In particular, the research will support the following Commission priorities:

 

Eurofound research

In 2024, Eurofound continues its research on the impact of digitalisation and the transition to a climate-neutral economy on working life. 

Various research strands linked with the digital and green transitions come to completion. This includes research into the impact of new developments in human–machine interaction on work organisation and working conditions. Research concludes on the impact of changes caused by the twin transitions at the sectoral level, focusing on the transformation of business activities, occupational and skill profiles, work organisation and working conditions. And analysis wraps up on the roles, opportunities and challenges of policy actors in the just transition, examining the design and implementation of Just Transition policies at the regional level, their mechanisms and the actors involved. 

Research continues on the impact of the green and digital transitions on the labour market and labour market actors with a project to explore company restructuring approaches and their ongoing adaptation strategies. Further research takes place on the socioeconomic impact of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy, monitoring the employment and social dimension of the green transition.

New research focuses on how managers’ roles and functions are impacted by the increase in telework and the shift towards more hybrid working in terms of challenges and opportunities.

The ongoing monitoring of the developments in the platform economy continues through Eurofound’s regularly updated web repository. Building on previous studies on platform work and the ongoing monitoring of policies and measures with regard to platform work through the web repository, new research focuses on the working conditions of online platform workers. This work aims to explore the characteristics of online platform workers and how they fare in relation to contractual arrangements and job quality, including pay, work intensity, working time, occupational health and safety, social environment and career prospects. It also explores the career goals of platform workers. 

Key outputs

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Eurofound's 2024 work programme is set in the context of the upcoming European elections, war in Ukraine, renewed Middle East conflict and rising cost of living across the EU.

23 januari 2024
Publication
Work programme
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Het jaar 2022 begon met voorzichtig optimisme. Europa was na twee jaar COVID-19-pandemie weer aan het opkrabbelen met het herstelplan NextGenerationEU, dat moet helpen bouwen aan een sterke en duurzame...

4 mei 2023
Publication
Annual report

Eurofound expert(s)

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Tina Weber is a research manager in Eurofound’s Working Life unit. Having previously shared her time between the Employment and Working Life units, her work has focused on labour...

Research manager,
Working life research unit
Publications results (67)

This Eurofound research paper explores the decarbonisation of residential heating through the adoption of heat pumps, a key component in the EU’s strategy to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. Heat pumps offer a highly efficient alternative to traditional heating systems, leveraging renewable energy

30 September 2024

Multistakeholder partnerships are essential to ensure that the green transition is not only environmentally sound and economically viable but also socially just. This policy brief investigates how relevant actors (national and regional authorities, the social partners and civil society organisations

02 September 2024

Interaction between workers and robots is expected to increase in modern workplaces due to rapid advancements in robotic technologies. This report explores the opportunities and challenges that come with closer human–robot interaction.

22 July 2024

In this report, we provide projections of how the Fit for 55 policy package may affect the sectoral and occupational structure of employment in the EU by 2030, and the impacts across different regions and countries.

25 October 2023

Automation and digitisation technologies, including artificial intelligence, are rapidly evolving and becoming increasingly powerful and pervasive. The full range of their effects in the workplace is yet to be seen. It is, however, important not only to explore the ethical implications of digital te

12 September 2023

Dit verslag onderzoekt de dynamiek van de milieuprestaties van de EU-lidstaten en de mate waarin de verschillen in hun prestaties sinds het begin van de jaren 2000 kleiner zijn geworden. Het verslag is het resultaat van samenwerking tussen Eurofound en het Europees Milieuagentschap, waarbij de

03 August 2023

De transitie van de EU naar een klimaatneutrale economie vereist een heuse schone industriële revolutie. In dit verslag worden de mogelijke sociaal-economische gevolgen van deze ingrijpende verandering voor verschillende Europese regio’s en bevolkingsgroepen onderzocht aan de hand van een op

19 June 2023

The rise of the platform economy during the last decade is one of the main disrupting forces for European labour markets. While standard employment remains the norm, platforms are expanding their reach and diversifying into novel business models. In doing so, they are also attracting an increasing n

16 May 2023

Het jaar 2022 begon met voorzichtig optimisme. Europa was na twee jaar COVID-19-pandemie weer aan het opkrabbelen met het herstelplan NextGenerationEU, dat moet helpen bouwen aan een sterke en duurzame toekomst. De Russische aanval op Oekraïne aan het begin van het jaar heeft de situatie echter

04 May 2023

In het verslag worden plausibele en denkbare scenario’s onderzocht waarin wordt nagegaan hoe telewerken en hybride werken in de EU zich tegen 2035 zouden kunnen ontwikkelen, en wat de gevolgen daarvan zijn voor de arbeidswereld. Hoe zijn managers en werknemers, werkgeversorganisaties en vakbonden

28 April 2023

Online resources results (49)

Human–robot interaction: What changes in the workplace?

Explore our digital report summary. Understanding how workers and robots interact and the implications for work organisation and working conditions is crucial for robots’ successful integration into the workplace.

Regulatory responses to algorithmic management in the EU

Since 2013, Eurofound's ERM database on restructuring-related legislation has been documenting regulatory developments in the Member States of the European Union and Norway. The most recent update to the database captures new legislation concerning the use of algorithmic management in the employment

Climate change objectives and decarbonisation measures are vital for the future of Europe. But how will these objectives impact employment and the labour market? In this episode of the Eurofound Talks podcast series, Mary McCaughey speaks with Eurofound Senior Research Manager John Hurley about new

22 november 2023
Image of a group of cyclists crossing at a street junction.

Facing up to the social realities of the green transition

The European Green Deal binds the European Union to becoming a climate-neutral territory by 2050. As part of this, the European Climate Law (June 2021) commits the EU to reducing greenhouse gas emissions by at least 55% (compared with 1990 levels) by 2030. To achieve this, a fundamental transformati

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Coronavirus highlights sick pay void for platform workers

The coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak is starting to have a serious impact on the world economy. The consequences for platform workers are especially severe in light of forced work stoppages due to self-isolation and lack of sick pay in many cases. Recent media coverage shows that platform workers in

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Amazon’s expansion in Europe

The U.S. online retail giant Amazon is investing heavily in Europe, creating 11,580 jobs in 2018 alone. As Europe turns towards e-commerce, automation and digitalisation, Amazon will play a key role in reshaping the retail sector. But its impacts are unlikely to be confined to retail alone.

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Lloyds bank’s digital transformation

Lloyds Banking Group is investing £3 billion (€3.35 billion) in technology and staff to improve its digital services. As a result, the Group has announced that it is cutting over 6,000 existing positions while creating 8,000 new jobs oriented towards digital technologies. The move reflects the growi

Platform work and employment conditions Informal meeting of EU Employment and Social Policy Ministers (EPSCO), 19 July 2018, Vienna, Austria Presentation by Juan Menéndez-Valdés, Director, Eurofound

19 juli 2018

Task profiles development in response to future job needs EMCO meeting, 22 March 2018, Sofia, Bulgaria Presentation by Martina Bisello, Research Officer, Eurofound

27 maart 2018

Blogs results (27)

Not only do we need appropriate policy measures to drive the shift to a carbon-neutral economy, we also need sound policy to ensure no one is left behind – we need to ensure a just transition.

2 mei 2024

‘Building back better’ is not just an empty slogan – we need the construction sector to help us achieve our climate targets. Eurofound research reveals that construction is where the Fit for 55 climate policy package will generate the most net new employment.

4 december 2023
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The platform economy is one of those moving targets, which, despite receiving increasing media and policy attention, has proven difficult to regulate. Given the heterogeneity of employment relationships, business models, types of platform work and cross-border issues, this is not surprising. Yet, in

27 september 2022
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Rising energy prices are putting more people under increased financial pressure and at greater risk of energy poverty. In this data story, we take a closer look at the data from the fifth round of the Living, working and COVID-19 e-survey to explore the extent of the issue and the threat of energy

3 augustus 2022
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Telework has become a permanent feature of working life in Europe. While we’ve seen the benefits of more flexible ways of working – particularly during the pandemic – the problems that arise from an increasingly connected life are also becoming clearer. Unfortunately, legislation alone may not be en

13 juli 2022
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The answer is yes – potentially. Assessing the environmental benefits of telework is a complex task, because any move to work from home involves a series of changes in individuals’ daily lives and activities, as well as company-level decisions, that may positively or negatively influence the level o

23 juni 2022
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Whether it is couch surfing, baby-sitting, pizza delivery or getting Ikea furniture assembled by somebody who can do it better, platforms can mediate all kinds of voluntary or professional services. Platform work is at the heart of the ‘sharing economy’. But while this may sound like a new form of

31 maart 2022
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The advent of AI has far more consequences for how work is organised, performed and valued than any previous technological revolution. In order to make the most of this digital transformation we need inclusive and nuanced policy debates on its employment effects and how to future-proof policies: we

8 december 2021
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COVID-19 has shown that some things can hit us out of the blue. The pandemic sent a shockwave through businesses all over the world and has brought massive changes to work organisation, internal communication and day-to-day operations for many companies. Doubtless, the depth of the pandemic’s impact

21 juni 2021
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On 9 May, the Conference on the Future of Europe will get underway. Floated well before the COVID-19 outbreak, its timing in the wake of the seismic shifts precipitated by the pandemic, and its implementation alongside the European Pillar of Social Rights Action Plan, means that the outcomes could b

4 mei 2021

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